Aeon 的最新消息

@dstuf @RandallBurns5 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks I'm the last thing from a minimizer, I was confused by the statement about "rising" though.

@dstuf @RandallBurns5 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks 我是最小化器的最后一件事,但我对“上升”的说法感到困惑。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@RandallBurns5 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks Yes higher peaks ahead is quite possible and a good point. If nothing else it is essentially certain that the current (recent) decline will reverse at some point, likely soon.

@RandallBurns5 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks 是的,前方更高的山峰是很有可能的,这是一个很好的观点。如果不出意外,基本上可以肯定当前(最近)的下跌将在某个时候逆转,可能很快就会逆转。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@ColchesterDeon @JimRosenthal4 It's a well known, though heavily suppressed and spun by the industry. Considering extreme density, airplane vent is fair to poor, and this ignores situations (e.g. on the ground, w/vent reduced or off) when the may be even much worse than usual.
https://www.ashrae.org/file%20... https://t.co/zRSPSiBEFk

@ColchesterDeon @JimRosenthal4 这是众所周知的,尽管被业界严重压制和旋转。考虑到极高的密度,飞机通风口相当差,这忽略了可能比平时更糟的情况(例如在地面上,通风口减少或关闭)。
https://www.ashrae.org/file .. . https://t.co/zRSPSiBEFk

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@OXHarryH1 @tax_oz @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks Schools often won't allow them.
I did donate air cleaners to a school in 2021. Thankfully that school was willing but many are not.

@OXHarryH1 @tax_oz @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks 学校通常不允许他们这样做。
我确实在 2021 年向一所学校捐赠了空气净化器。谢天谢地,学校愿意,但很多人不愿意。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@ocnj3 @michellelrees @MeetJess @RichmdSewerRat Happens all the time.
Stay off planes as much as you can if you don't want covid.
https://twitter.com/justthefac...

🧵 Some highlights from this article lamenting how Covid threw a wrench in people’s summer plans.
The number of people voluntarily telling the WaPo that they got on a plane while Covid+ is disturbing.
1/
https://www.washingtonpost.com...

发表时间:3年前 作者:Joe Friday @justthefacts85

@ocnj3 @michellelrees @MeetJess @RichmdSewerRat 一直在发生。
如果您不想感染新冠病毒,请尽可能远离飞机。
https://twitter.com/justthefac...

🧵 这篇文章中的一些要点感叹 Covid 如何影响了人们的夏季计划。
自愿告诉 WaPo 他们在 Covid 令人不安时上了飞机的人数。
1/
https://www.washingtonpost.com...

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@tax_oz @sjbirdwatcher @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks There's a very significant life expectancy reduction. Anyone can live as they like, take as many risks as they like, but if that route is taken will likely be doing it for a shorter period of time. No way to get back to 2019 from here soon without very different polices.

@tax_oz @sjbirdwatcher @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks 预期寿命显着降低。任何人都可以随心所欲地生活,尽可能多地冒险,但如果采取这条路线,则可能会在较短的时间内这样做。如果没有非常不同的政策,就无法很快从这里回到 2019 年。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@RandallBurns5 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks I think most of these excess death models are calibrated based on 2019 and before and aren't right at this point. They don't account for prematurely losing millions of the most vulnerable, which should make deaths trend well below 2019 levels at this point.

@RandallBurns5 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks 我认为这些超额死亡模型中的大多数都是根据 2019 年及之前进行校准的,目前并不正确。他们没有考虑过早失去数百万最脆弱的人,这应该会使死亡人数的趋势远低于 2019 年的水平。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@tax_oz @OXHarryH1 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks The cost is actually very low. For example in schools it is something like $10 per student. It's likewise similar in other venues.

@tax_oz @OXHarryH1 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks 成本其实很低。例如,在学校,每个学生大约 10 美元。在其他场所也是如此。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@LveLks4Space2Be @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks Well, you're never really going to have zero deaths per day. People die from all sorts of crazy things like being hit by falling trees. Low but >0. Current numbers are WAY too high, and don't suggest that a purely medicalized response is sufficient, so I disagree with him there.

@LveLks4Space2Be @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks 好吧,你永远不会真正实现每天零死亡。人们死于各种疯狂的事情,例如被倒下的树木击中。低但

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@RandallBurns5 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks That chart you just linked doesn't show infections still growing, it shows a slow decline (since July)

@RandallBurns5 @michaelmina_lab @mbrushstocks 您刚刚链接的那个图表并未显示感染仍在增长,它显示缓慢下降(自 7 月以来)

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin I'm curious how the political demographics of Davis break down between those connected to the university and university-offshoots (startups and other university-related businesses, and those that serve them) vs those primarily connected to the regional agricultural economy.

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin 我很好奇戴维斯的政治人口统计数据如何在与大学和大学分支机构(初创公司和其他大学相关企业以及为它们服务的企业)与主要与地区相关的人之间分解农业经济。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin Those probably vote Republican because they're rural areas with lower educational attainment and predominantly esource based economies, and those vote Republican in every state. Why would California be any different? But not my area of expertise, I may be wrong.

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin 这些人可能会投票给共和党,因为他们是受教育程度较低且以资源为主的经济体的农村地区,而且每个州都投票给共和党。为什么加州会有所不同?但不是我的专业领域,我可能是错的。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin I mean the wasteful farming is (probably, barring miraculous precipitation) going to go under. Depressions can and should be avoided by proper management of the transition.

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin 我的意思是浪费性的农业(可能,除非奇迹般的降水)会消失。可以而且应该通过适当的过渡管理来避免抑郁症。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin It's going to happen. You won't build desalination equal to 20% of the Colorado river in a few years. You just won't, the numbers and political reality don't pencil out.
So best to figure out how to manage it.

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin 这会发生的。你不会在几年内建造相当于科罗拉多河 20% 的海水淡化设施。你只是不会,数字和政治现实不会写出来。
所以最好弄清楚如何管理它。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin I am too, just with a different solution. The massive waste will be curtailed and soon. It should have been done years ago but people dithered, so mother nature is providing her own solution.

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin 我也是,只是有不同的解决方案。大量浪费将很快减少。它应该在几年前完成,但人们犹豫不决,所以大自然提供了她自己的解决方案。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin Didn't that just happen?

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin 这不是刚刚发生的吗?

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin So decrying "What will the locals do?" doesn't really make sense. Best to start planning for difficult decisions.
Will there be desalination as part of the solution? Of course, but to replace the bulk of existing supply in a reasonable time at reasonable cost is a fantasy.

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin 如此谴责“当地人会怎么做?”真的没有意义。最好开始计划艰难的决定。
将海水淡化作为解决方案的一部分吗?当然,但在合理的时间内以合理的成本替换大部分现有供应是一种幻想。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin What's going to happen within a few years (California is spared in the current tier of cuts, but not the next) is that supply will be hugely curtailed and all of those locals WILL be out of work. Fact. The only alternative is miraculous precipitation (obviously not a "plan").

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin 几年内会发生什么(加利福尼亚在当前的削减水平中幸免于难,但不是下一个)供应将大幅减少,所有这些当地人都将失业。事实。唯一的选择是神奇的降水(显然不是“计划”)。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin The Imperial Valley is 20% of the entire Colorado River allocation (similar to all non-agricultural use!)
Buying all farm land in IV at market value is a few billion $.
This is much less expensive than desalination.

@AGoldsmithEsq @OXHarryH1 @alexmeshkin 帝王谷占整个科罗拉多河分配的 20%(类似于所有非农业用途!)
以市场价值购买 IV 中的所有农地需要数十亿美元。
这比海水淡化便宜得多。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@tinkeringprim8 @kprather88 @CorsIAQ Depends on air flow rate/ACH and also whether the system is ever turned off or reduced. Almost certaintly, conditions are not ideal in the real world.

@tinkeringprim8 @kprather88 @CorsIAQ 取决于空气流速/ACH 以及系统是否曾经关闭或减少。几乎可以肯定的是,现实世界中的条件并不理想。

发表时间:3年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情