@positiveriley @wboscoho @ddiamond Look at how emergency declarations work for things like earthquakes, major wildfires, etc. The emergency doesn't end when the ground stops shaking or the trees stop burning. In fact in some sense that's when it starts, and it often takes years to recover, rebuild, and adapt.

@positiveriley @wboscoho @ddiamond 看看紧急声明如何应对地震、重大野火等情况。当地面停止震动或树木停止燃烧时，紧急情况并没有结束。事实上，从某种意义上说，这就是它开始的时候，而且通常需要数年时间才能恢复、重建和适应。

@positiveriley @wboscoho @ddiamond Maybe for the first several years after the flu emerged, while you are developing medicines, vaccines, pubic health systems to track and manage flu outbreaks, etc.

@positiveriley @wboscoho @ddiamond 也许是在流感出现后的最初几年，而您正在开发药物、疫苗、公共卫生系统以跟踪和管理流感爆发等。

@nailatrahman @BarryHunt008 The thread I just linked isn't about mask fitters.

@nailatrahman @BarryHunt008 我刚刚链接的主题与口罩装配工无关。

@nailatrahman @BarryHunt008 @PPEtoheros Pretty sure he's referring to "publishing" in an academic journal. I wouldn't expect that to happen quickly, it is by nature a deliberative process.

@nailatrahman @BarryHunt008 @PPEtoheros 很确定他指的是在学术期刊上“出版”。我不希望这会很快发生，这本质上是一个审议过程。

@BarryHunt008 @nailatrahman It doesn't bother me that there are two distinct tracks for knowledge dissemination, they serve different purposes. It does bother me that someone is apparently sitting on critically useful information and not releasing AT ALL prior to publication.
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@BarryHunt008 @nailatrahman 知识传播有两条不同的轨道并不困扰我，它们服务于不同的目的。确实让我感到困扰的是，有人显然坐在非常有用的信息上，并且在发布之前根本没有发布。
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@BarryHunt008 @nailatrahman It depends what you mean by "publish". I saw that advice in 2020. Academic journals is probably not any useful part of the way to respond to an emergency in real time.

@BarryHunt008 @nailatrahman 这取决于您所说的“发布”是什么意思。我在 2020 年看到了这个建议。学术期刊可能不是实时应对紧急情况的任何有用部分。

@AndrewNoymer @mskathleenquinn There is N=1 of Omicron-style post-immunity widely propagating wave followed by several smaller sub variant waves. N=1 is not enough to characterize any sort long-run behavior. If this (north) winter looks different from last it will be N=0 (reset) on observing stability.

@AndrewNoymer @mskathleenquinn 有 N=1 的 Omicron 式免疫后广泛传播的波，然后是几个较小的子变体波。 N=1 不足以表征任何排序的长期行为。如果这个（北方）冬天看起来与去年不同，那么在观察稳定性时它将是 N=0（重置）。

@AndrewNoymer @mskathleenquinn I wouldn't say perfect-constant steady state. A dynamic equilibrium that is persists over multiple cycles (like seasonal flu) is another form of a steady state. A novel virus still mutating in unknown ways with little track record to define an equilibrium certainly isn't.

@AndrewNoymer @mskathleenquinn 我不会说完美恒定的稳态。在多个周期（如季节性流感）中持续存在的动态平衡是另一种形式的稳定状态。一种仍然以未知方式变异的新型病毒，几乎没有定义平衡的记录，当然不是。

@AndrewNoymer @mskathleenquinn Also, even endemicity or "end of pandemic" does not mean not bad, not immediately and not even necessary ever. Many diseases were once endemic, some still, with terrible cost.

@AndrewNoymer @mskathleenquinn 此外，即使是地方病或“大流行结束”并不意味着不坏，不是立即，甚至没有必要。许多疾病曾经是地方病，有些仍然是地方病，代价惨重。

@AndrewNoymer @mskathleenquinn You really need a few years at least to correctly declare endemicity. It's not in a stable state (def of endemicity) until it is clear that there won't be very bad mutations soon. If there are, then this is just a lull, as before Delta, as before Omicron.

@AndrewNoymer @mskathleenquinn 您至少需要几年时间才能正确宣布流行性。在很明显不会很快出现非常糟糕的突变之前，它还没有处于稳定状态（地方性定义）。如果有，那么这只是一个平静，就像在 Delta 之前，在 Omicron 之前一样。

@wsbgnl "Ever-larger" is a very curious way to put it. Take a look at the share of total income going to wages over the past several decades. You could reverse that trend by A LOT for many, many years, without ever reaching into "ever-larger"

@wsbgnl “Ever-larger”是一种非常奇怪的表达方式。看看过去几十年总收入占工资的比例。你可以在很多很多年里扭转这种趋势，而永远不会达到“越来越大”

@LazarusLong13 I mean, it's kind of obvious. Just noticed this thread near yours on my feed.
https://twitter.com/Jason_gasd...

@LazarusLong13 我的意思是，这很明显。刚刚在我的提要上注意到你附近的这个线程。
https://twitter.com/Jason_gasd...

@SerpinaLonghaul @LazarusLong13 There has been lots of contact tracing outside the US. Virus transmission doesn't change when you cross a political boundary.

@SerpinaLonghaul @LazarusLong13 在美国以外有很多接触者追踪。当您跨越政治边界时，病毒传播不会改变。

@pafournier @gringlegriff @fitterhappierAJ @K_G_Andersen He wrote "one single infection". It seems clear but I guess there is some possibility I'm misunderstanding it.

@pafournier @gringlegriff @fitterhappierAJ @K_G_Andersen 他写了“一次感染”。看起来很清楚，但我想我可能会误解它。

@pafournier @gringlegriff @fitterhappierAJ @K_G_Andersen He didn't claim each infection would shorten life by 7-10 yeas.

@pafournier @gringlegriff @fitterhappierAJ @K_G_Andersen 他没有声称每次感染都会使寿命缩短 7-10 年。

@eye4msu @quick_AG @MaxUtilitarian @j_g_allen Which schools stayed closed for a year after vaccines?
Vaccines were first available in December 2020 and widely available (including to teachers) in April 2021. All or essentially all schools were open for the entire 2021-2022 school year.

@eye4msu @quick_AG @MaxUtilitarian @j_g_allen 疫苗接种后哪些学校关闭了一年？
疫苗于 2020 年 12 月首次提供，并于 2021 年 4 月广泛提供（包括教师）。所有或基本上所有学校在整个 2021-2022 学年开放。

@johndefeo @grace5421 @CornEverywhere @Theresa_Chapple https://t.co/mpwrUByymQ

@johndefeo @grace5421 @CornEverywhere @Theresa_Chapple https://t.co/mpwrUByymQ

@DaveKotlyar @fitterhappierAJ @K_G_Andersen It's not inevitable but it is possible. That should be enough to prompt extraordinary preventive action. But here we are.

@DaveKotlyar @fitterhappierAJ @K_G_Andersen 这不是不可避免的，但有可能。这应该足以促使采取特别的预防措施。但我们在这里。

@fitterhappierAJ @K_G_Andersen The only panic that ever emerged or would have emerged was Elite Panic.

@fitterhappierAJ @K_G_Andersen 曾经出现或将会出现的唯一恐慌是精英恐慌。

@FinchTH Is this also due to covid?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

@FinchTH 这也是因为covid吗？
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...