@wsbgnl @nailatrahman There was never credible evidence whatsoever of 90-99% less severe, other than perhaps anecdotes from a primary care clinic. Early systematic analysis e.g. from UK pointed to possible incrementally lower severity but nothing like that. IHME is a continual train wreck.

@wsbgnl @nailatrahman 除了可能来自初级保健诊所的轶事之外，从来没有可靠的证据表明严重程度降低了 90-99%。早期的系统分析，例如来自英国的人指出可能会逐渐降低严重性，但并非如此。 IHME 是一个连续的火车残骸。

@taipan168 @Fiona_M_Russell It's synergy, both are needed. Keeping the border closed is also useless without also controlling local transmission.

@taipan168 @Fiona_M_Russell 这是协同作用，两者都需要。如果不控制本地传播，保持边境关闭也是无用的。

@taipan168 @Fiona_M_Russell Well, you still have to stop transmission locally. But yes border is probably essential.

@taipan168 @Fiona_M_Russell 好吧，你还是要在本地停止传输。但是是的，边界可能是必不可少的。

@OmicronData @BallouxFrancois @Fiona_M_Russell It was low in 2020-2021 in large part because of low to no covid (unless you do blanket mass testing, who are you going to test?). Positivity rates were in line with other countries and excess mortality was low or negative.
Omicron wave is undertested.

@OmicronData @BallouxFrancois @Fiona_M_Russell 2020-2021 年的价格很低，很大程度上是因为新冠病毒低到没有（除非你进行全面质量测试，你要测试谁？）。阳性率与其他国家一致，超额死亡率低或为负。
Omicron 波未得到充分测试。

@Fiona_M_Russell It's China and the primary NPIs are masks and mass testing (+tracing/isolation). Plus probably some transmission benefit (albeit limited) from very high vaccination rate. Lockdowns are a relatively small part of what is going on.

@Fiona_M_Russell 这是中国，主要的 NPI 是口罩和大规模测试（追踪/隔离）。再加上非常高的疫苗接种率可能会带来一些传播益处（尽管有限）。封锁只是正在发生的事情中相对较小的一部分。

@APazyryk True they're terrible. And never worked seriously their own Congressional leadership to include in party-line funding votes. Previous coodindator even said "we have all the funding we need" months before it started to run out. But R's blaming Biden for their no vote is a lie.

@APazyryk 是的，他们很糟糕。并且从来没有认真地工作过他们自己的国会领导层，以包括在党内资金投票中。之前的协调员甚至在资金开始用完前几个月就说“我们已经拥有了我们需要的所有资金”。但 R 指责拜登没有投票是谎言。

@juli_bg_bs @wanderer_jasnah @nikkharris Most are legit in the sense of more in vaccine than placebo, but placebo still significant. In Moderna trial lymphadenopathy reported in 11-16% and 5% in placebo. Pfizer didn't track that as a symptom.

@juli_bg_bs @wanderer_jasnah @nikkharris 大多数是合法的，因为疫苗比安慰剂更多，但安慰剂仍然很重要。在 Moderna 试验中，据报道有 11-16% 的淋巴结肿大和 5% 的安慰剂。辉瑞公司没有将其作为一种症状进行追踪。

@APazyryk Taking this at face value is absurd. The eternal Republican script on this is "No, because ______" (fill in whatever excuse of the day pulled from the headlines) regardless of what Biden says or does.

@APazyryk 从表面上看这是荒谬的。无论拜登说什么或做什么，共和党对此的永恒剧本是“不，因为______”（填写当天从头条新闻中删除的任何借口）。

@wanderer_jasnah @nikkharris @juli_bg_bs There was pretty high incidence of some of the symptoms in the placebo arm of the trials. Expectations or (mis) attribution of common symptoms (e.g. headache) people experience anyway may play a role.

@wanderer_jasnah @nikkharris @juli_bg_bs 在试验的安慰剂组中，某些症状的发生率相当高。人们无论如何都会经历的常见症状（例如头痛）的期望或（错误）归因可能会起作用。

@juli_bg_bs @wanderer_jasnah @nikkharris Had very different symptoms on different shots ranging from none whatsoever to severe fatigue and severe arm pain. Anecdotal but seems completely non-genetic in my case.

@juli_bg_bs @wanderer_jasnah @nikkharris 在不同的镜头中出现了非常不同的症状，从没有任何症状到严重的疲劳和严重的手臂疼痛。轶事，但在我的情况下似乎完全非遗传。

@HowertonNews Flames visible before it crashed into the road below. See video at 0:06.

@HowertonNews 在撞到下面的道路之前可见火焰。请参阅 0:06 的视频。

@kallmemeg @PeacockFlu Will it be the deadliest one yet?

@kallmemeg @PeacockFlu 这会是最致命的吗？

@ritholtz It's leveraged and the others are probably asset prices.

@ritholtz 它是杠杆的，其他的可能是资产价格。

@pafournier @wsbgnl Arizona is not really representative of large coastal cities and areas ever with high masking, but I'm still confused by the word "always" here. That would seem to imply outdoors (almost no one does that anymore anywhere), even at home. I wonder about the wording of the question

@pafournier @wsbgnl Arizona 并不能真正代表大型沿海城市和具有高遮蔽性的地区，但我仍然对这里的“总是”这个词感到困惑。这似乎意味着在户外（几乎没有人在任何地方这样做），即使在家里也是如此。我想知道问题的措辞

@wsbgnl I know it isn't yours but that is a terrible graphic. The chart is inverted relative to the headline.

@wsbgnl 我知道这不是你的，但那是一个可怕的图形。该图表相对于标题是倒置的。

@vzlui @wsbgnl @dad_kapital The WH Twitter docs are always a week or two ahead of strategic messaging. If they weren't already saying this, it was a gaffe.

@vzlui @wsbgnl @dad_kapital WH Twitter 文档总是比战略信息提前一到两周。如果他们还没有这么说，那就是失态了。

@nikkharris @KrauthBen @GYamey @MichaelSFuhrer @CT_Bergstrom @TIME They very well could. My criticism of the declaration, or any such declaration, is that it isn't presented as the prediction that it is. Your statement, by contrast, is correctly presented as a prediction.

@nikkharris @KrauthBen @GYamey @MichaelSFuhrer @CT_Bergstrom @TIME 他们完全可以。我对该声明或任何此类声明的批评是，它没有被呈现为它的预测。相比之下，您的陈述被正确地呈现为预测。

@AuraLeeHarvey @AP This probably works with VR, but looking at a screen is very different from immersion.

@AuraLeeHarvey @AP 这可能适用于 VR，但看屏幕与沉浸式有很大不同。

@MichaelSFuhrer @GYamey @nikkharris @CT_Bergstrom @TIME @alexandraphelan @Boghuma If it is just many waves, largely similar, then yes. If there are significant plot twists which make them meaningfully different from what came before (and what will come after), that's not really endemic, it's just that this pandemic takes more than a few years to play out.

@MichaelSFuhrer @GYamey @nikkharris @CT_Bergstrom @TIME @alexandraphelan @Boghuma 如果只是很多波，大致相似，那么是的。如果有重大的情节曲折使它们与之前发生的事情（以及之后发生的事情）产生有意义的不同，那并不是真正的地方病，只是这种流行病需要几年以上的时间才能发挥出来。

@MichaelSFuhrer @GYamey @nikkharris @CT_Bergstrom @TIME @alexandraphelan @Boghuma Maybe there is no "the one that matters" is the point. It may simply be the next chapter. There have been several so far. How many more? The only answer that makes this "The End" is zero. It may be zero. Or one. Or many. No one knows.

@MichaelSFuhrer @GYamey @nikkharris @CT_Bergstrom @TIME @alexandraphelan @Boghuma 也许没有“最重要的”才是重点。它可能只是下一章。到目前为止已经有好几个了。还有多少？使这个“终结”的唯一答案是零。它可能为零。或者一个。或者很多。没人知道。