@RadioFreeTom @SethBKrantz @mehdirhasan There were offramps (see White House and CDC opening roadmap in spring/summer 2020). They included gating rules, rollback rules, supporting mitigations (ramp up testing, etc.). Politicians at almost every level said fuck it, just open everything now and pretend it's over.

@RadioFreeTom@SethBKrantz@mehdirhasan也有例外（见白宫和疾控中心2020年春夏季开放路线图）。它们包括选通规则、回滚规则、支持缓解措施（爬升测试等）。几乎所有级别的政客都说去他妈的，现在就打开所有东西，假装一切都结束了。

@gregggonsalves STILL only 27% boosted.

@gregggonsalves仍然只有27%的增长。

@gregggonsalves @CDCgov https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@gregggonsalves@CDCgovhttps://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@gregggonsalves @CDCgov https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@gregggonsalves@CDCgovhttps://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@gregggonsalves @CDCgov CDC made other changes too around that time, including no testing for vaccinated even if exposed, not collecting data on breakthrough cases, eliminating social distancing in most contexts, etc.

@gregggonsalves@CDCgov-CDC在那段时间也做出了其他改变，包括即使暴露在疫苗中也不检测疫苗，不收集突破性病例的数据，在大多数情况下消除社交距离，等等。

@gregggonsalves @CDCgov CDC shifted back to recommending mask wearing but this time with a complicated algorithm that requires checking a web site every day and every time you cross a county line.
Putting them back on was part of the issue but also unnecessarily obtuse confusing guidance.

@gregggonsalves@CDC改为推荐佩戴口罩，但这一次使用了一种复杂的算法，需要每天和每次穿过县界线时查看网站。
把它们放回原处是问题的一部分，但也不必要地造成了令人困惑的指导。

@hjelle_brian They were told not to wear them because it would look scary.

@hjelle_brian他们被告知不要戴，因为这样看起来很吓人。

@NateSilver538 I prefer the old normal where as a teenager I could eat as much crap as I wanted and never gain weight.

@自然人538我更喜欢过去的正常生活，在那里，作为一个青少年，我可以想吃多少就吃多少，而且永远不会发胖。

@DrLeanaWen @Acosta Why won't the FDA move on 6-24m sooner, where data is already favorable?

@DrLeanaWen@Acosta为什么FDA不在数据已经有利的情况下提前6-24米？

@DecorumManager @WHCOS Nobody is that bad at pattern recognition.

@DecorumManager@WHCOS没有人在模式识别方面那么差。

@AGoldsmithEsq @alexmeshkin I'm observing not excusing.
Keep us informed on your run. Sound like admirable walk not talk.

@AGoldsmithEsq@alexmeshkin我观察到没有原谅。
随时通知我们你的跑步情况。听起来像是令人钦佩的走路而不是说话。

@i_petersen @fibke Irony = When a chart shows deaths increase by 20x and someone claims this is "misleading" because half of them are with-not-of.

@i_petersen@fibke Irony=当一张图表显示死亡人数增加了20倍，有人声称这是“误导性的”，因为他们中有一半人没有死亡。

@AGoldsmithEsq @alexmeshkin It's driven by midterms but it's a huge gamble that a big surge or other problematic development won't happen before the midterms, which could backfire spectacularly. I get being behind and going for it though.

@AGoldsmithEsq@Alexmeskin这是由期中考试推动的，但在期中考试之前不会出现大幅飙升或其他有问题的发展，这是一场巨大的赌博，可能会适得其反。但我还是落后了，而且还在努力。

@NjbBari3 @MarvinH2_G2 @hjelle_brian Extinction is A steady state, but not the only one. Again, nobody knows for sure where it is going and how long it will take.

@NJBari3@MarvinH2_G2@hjelle_brian灭绝是一种稳定状态，但不是唯一的一种。同样，没有人确切知道它要去哪里，需要多长时间。

@NjbBari3 @MarvinH2_G2 @hjelle_brian An attractor is an oscillation in a sense, but not predictably periodic. The range of variation can be wide.
Even if there is an attractor, and even if its properties aren't terrible, I don't think anyone knows how long it would take to get there

@NjbBari3@MarvinH2_G2@hjelle_brian吸引子在某种意义上是一种振荡，但不具有可预测的周期性。变化的范围可能很广。
即使有一个吸引子，即使它的性质并不可怕，我认为没有人知道需要多长时间才能到达那里

@MarvinH2_G2 @NjbBari3 @hjelle_brian The you will crash to a period of quiescence and then have a new wave as the huge number of people infected by the last wave experience waning immunity more or less at the same time.

@MarvinH2_G2@NjbBari3@hjelle_brian随着大量感染上一波病毒的人或多或少地同时经历免疫力下降，你会崩溃到一段平静期，然后出现新一波病毒。

@MarvinH2_G2 @NjbBari3 @hjelle_brian It's actually way more complicated than that ideal due to external factors and not just properties of the model itself. The intuition behind bifurcations is pretty simple here BTW. With high R, you will have massive overshoot i.e. "too much" immunity to just barely stop the wave.

@MarvinH2_G2@NjbBari3@hjelle_brian由于外部因素，而不仅仅是模型本身的特性，它实际上比理想情况要复杂得多。分岔背后的直觉在这里非常简单。顺便说一句，高R时，你会有巨大的超调，即“太多”的免疫力，几乎无法阻止波浪。

@MarvinH2_G2 @NjbBari3 @hjelle_brian I'm not at all convinced that is going to be stable.

@MarvinH2_G2@NjbBari3@hjelle_brian我一点也不相信这种情况会稳定下来。

@RidleyDM I think there's some of that and also quite a bit of demographic (behavior, workplaces, etc.) bias between vaccinated and unvaccinated.

@RidleyDM我认为在接种疫苗和未接种疫苗之间存在着一些偏见，还有相当多的人口统计学（行为、工作场所等）偏见。

@greg_travis @gregggonsalves Spoiler: It's not necessarily over for wealthy white people.
This is all just short term thinking. Trying for an immediate win regardless of what comes next.

@greg_travis@gregggonsalves Spoiler:对于富有的白人来说，这不一定就结束了。
这些都只是短期的想法。不管接下来会发生什么，都要努力争取立竿见影的胜利。