@drtrillionaire @DarenCotter @Spauldi55428511 @robinhanson A lot of the rich ones

@drtrillionaire@DarenCotter@Spauldi55428511@robinhanson很多有钱人

@Nutmeg031992 @andrew_croxford I know maybe 100 people who had covid and two with probable long covid (1 from pre-vax). Totally inconsistent with 10%. But I will say that you don't necessarily know every problem people have. The post-vax LC I only found out about recently but its been almost a year.

@肉豆蔻031992@andrew\u croxford我知道可能有100人患有冠状病毒，两人可能患有长冠状病毒（1人来自vax前）。完全不符合10%。但我要说的是，你不一定知道人们遇到的每一个问题。vax后LC我最近才发现，但已经快一年了。

@VinnyLingham @GeorgeSelgin It definitely has to slow the economy. There is no free lunch here. How much is the big question. Slowing to a significant period of slow growth is a lot less painful than slowing to contraction, but neither is particularly pleasant.

@VinnyLingham@GeorgeSelgin它肯定会让经济放缓。这里没有免费的午餐。这个大问题是多少。放缓到显著的缓慢增长期要比放缓到收缩期痛苦得多，但两者都不是特别令人愉快的。

@NorthBelle4 @AdithyaR_YXE @andrew_croxford She said 1 per 100k which is about 77 thousand per day globally, 380 per day in canada. This is typical of "simmering" periods in 2020 after the first wave or 2021 after widespread vaccination but before variants. Hasn't been achieved since.

@NorthBelle4@AdithyaR_YXE@andrew_croxford她说，每10万人中就有1人，全球每天约7.7万人，加拿大每天380人。这是在第一波疫苗接种后的2020年或2021广泛接种疫苗后但在变异之前的典型“酝酿”期。从那以后就再也没有实现过。

@kromark @LeicaGeosystems Hmm https://t.co/ipYDVGc0kP

@kromark@Leicagesystems嗯https://t.co/ipYDVGc0kP

@drtrillionaire @DarenCotter @Spauldi55428511 @robinhanson If the asset is even sold and not borrowed against (and gain erased at death), then it will show up very rarely. Most years this entire group would be excluded. You would have to aggregate decades of data including vehicles such as trusts to get a good picture. No one does this

@drtrillionaire@DarenCotter@Spauldi55428511@robinhanson如果资产被出售而不是借来（并且在死亡时收益被抹去），那么它将很少出现。大多数年份，这整个群体都会被排除在外。你必须收集数十年的数据，包括信托等工具，才能得到一个好的图像。没人会这么做

@bobgourley I'm even happier to have one in your neighborhood with wires going to mine.

@bobgourley我甚至更高兴在你的社区有一个，电线连接到我的。

@Spauldi55428511 @robinhanson @paulg I'm not sure it's all so righteous either. Car dealers for example engage in some atrociously evil business practices. They also lobby for protectionist laws. But it is certainly not a good study of "The Rich".

@Spauldi55428511@robinhanson@paulg我也不确定这一切是否如此正义。例如，汽车经销商从事一些极其恶劣的商业行为。他们还游说保护主义法律。但这肯定不是对“富人”的好研究。

@DarenCotter @Spauldi55428511 @robinhanson The main reason (setting aside nefarious motives) people do this is that there actually is a dataset of taxable income, but there isn't one for assets. It's an instances of the streetlight effect.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

@DarenCotter@Spauldi55428511@robinhanson人们这样做的主要原因（撇开邪恶动机不谈）是，实际上有一个应税收入数据集，但没有一个资产数据集。这是街灯效应的一个例子。
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

@DarenCotter @Spauldi55428511 @robinhanson It doesn't really matter. When talking about "The Rich" that would also include a consideration of assets. When you select by taxable income you get a different result.

@DarenCotter@Spauldi55428511@robinhanson其实并不重要。当谈到“富人”时，这也包括对资产的考虑。当你按应税收入选择时，你会得到不同的结果。

@Spauldi55428511 @robinhanson To be fair, the people identified ARE very well off and do exist in large numbers. It's just not necessarily representative of "The Rich" in either population or characterization.

@Spauldi55428511@robinhanson公平地说，被确认的人非常富裕，确实存在大量。无论是在人口还是性格方面，它都不一定代表“富人”。

@jonlevyBU @chargrille @POTUS He might go for that, as long as you mean healthy police stations.

@jonlevyBU@chargrill@POTUS他可能会这么做，只要你指的是健康的警察局。

@Spauldi55428511 @robinhanson It comes from tax returns so probably excludes unrealized gains which are an enormous factor at the top end, making the analysis very questionable at best.

@Spauldi55428511@robinhanson它来自纳税申报表，因此可能不包括未实现收益，这在高端是一个巨大的因素，使得分析充其量也非常可疑。

@edsuom Delta isn't quite extinct. It's lingering at 1% or so. It is possible that some offshoot Delta makes a comeback, particularly as immunity to Delta fades. I wouldn't dismiss it entirely, though less of an immediate concern than the Omicrons.

@edsuom三角洲并没有完全灭绝。它徘徊在1%左右。一些分支三角洲可能会卷土重来，尤其是随着对三角洲的免疫力减弱。我不会完全否定这一点，尽管与Omicrons相比，这不是一个紧迫的问题。

@rubin_allergy The second stealth wave.

@rubin_是第二次隐形浪潮。

@minxmarx @Incindery1 https://www.technologyreview.c... https://t.co/tMA6HksMBi

@minxmarx@Incindery1https://www.technologyreview.c...对不起，对不起。https://t.co/tMA6HksMBi

@ChadDigums @Incindery1 At this rate it is looking like you're going to need to have money to travel to some other country. Of course, no masks on the plane, so may the odds be ever in your favor.

@ChadDigums@Incindery1以这种速度看来，你需要钱去其他国家旅行。当然，飞机上没有面具，所以可能永远对你有利。

@wsbgnl Then count the ones that already happened now and haven't died yet? Much lower number, but >0.

@wsbgnl然后数一数现在已经发生但尚未死亡的事件？这个数字要低得多，但>；0

@auston @DrTsion I was going to ask the same thing but we don't know when in the week it was. If the TN show was much earlier it would be less likely (Omicron symptoms usually show up pretty fast). If they were a day apart then it sounds like nonsense.

@auston@DrTsion我本打算问同样的问题，但我们不知道这周是什么时候。如果TN的出现时间早得多，可能性就会小（Omicron症状通常很快出现）。如果他们相隔一天，那听起来就像胡说八道。

@wsbgnl It's 600k. It was 400k just a few days before he took office. Not even counting non-reported.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/u...

@wsbgnl是60万。就在他上任的前几天，这是40万美元。甚至不算未报告。
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/u...