@NathanpmYoung Instinctively I'm softly negative. Encourages focusing on quantity rather than quality of opposition.
Like, if lots of people oppose what you say but the opposition is insane, getting ratioed feels like a badge of honor. But downvotes feel more like getting a bad grade in school
@内森·普姆扬本能地认为我是一个温和的否定者。鼓励注重数量而不是质量的对立。
比如，如果有很多人反对你说的话，但反对者是疯狂的，那么被评为合格就像是荣誉的徽章。但落选的人感觉更像是在学校里成绩不好
@avsa I think we should also appreciate our existing successes on climate / environment!
In the last decade global CO2 emissions have finally stopped growing. And various other numbers (not all, but some) are getting better.
Lots of problems remain but we are not powerless. https://t.co/siKGabLXn0
@avsa我认为我们也应该感谢我们在气候/环境方面取得的现有成功！
在过去十年中，全球二氧化碳排放量终于停止增长。其他各种数字（不是全部，而是一些）正在好转。
许多问题仍然存在，但我们并非无能为力。https://t.co/siKGabLXn0
@RectumSpectrum To be clear I totally do not advocate resting on our laurels, we absolutely need a hard push to make the good stuff happen faster. But it's "a hard push to make the good stuff happen faster", not "abandon the growth paradigm" or anything like that.
@要明确的是，我完全不主张固步自封，我们绝对需要大力推动，让好事更快发生。但这是“努力让好事更快发生”，而不是“放弃增长范式”或诸如此类的东西。
@RectumSpectrum But remote work is amazing for the environment (and urban congestion), no?
Basically I think the environment dystopia is very real but we're already on the way to clawing ourselves out of it.
Deforestation too: https://t.co/0KFtLWCcaI
@但是远程工作对环境（和城市拥挤）来说是惊人的，不是吗？
基本上，我认为环境反乌托邦是非常真实的，但我们已经在努力摆脱它。
森林砍伐：https://t.co/0KFtLWCcaI
@RectumSpectrum The last decade is the first one in which CO2 emissions stopped increasing.
Also, from personal experience, progress in cleaning up the urban air in China over the last ~8 years has been amazing. https://t.co/rN5aRk3h48
@最近十年是二氧化碳排放停止增加的第一个十年。
此外，根据个人经验，过去8年来，中国在净化城市空气方面取得了惊人的进展。https://t.co/rN5aRk3h48
@brianfairchild The problem there is that it's a centralized reputation system where one actor can inject arbitrary political goals into the score. Need a decentralized reputation system with open-source logic, no dependence on specific actors.
@brianfairchild存在的问题是，这是一个集中的声誉系统，一个演员可以在分数中注入任意的政治目标。需要一个具有开源逻辑的分散声誉系统，不依赖于特定的参与者。
@SriniSurasani PoS increases security.
https://vitalik.ca/general/202...
@SriniSurasani PoS提高了安全性。
https://vitalik.ca/general/202...
I do think that we need less indefinite optimism and more definite optimism - less relying on magic forces to make things better and more concerted efforts to identify specific great things that could be built and build them.
我确实认为，我们需要少一些不确定的乐观主义，而需要更多的确定的乐观主义——少一些依靠神奇的力量使事情变得更好，而需要更多的协同努力，以确定可以建造和建造的具体伟大事物。
BTW this includes a definite-optimist attitude to crypto. Hence my focus on:
* Public goods funding
* Social recovery / multisig wallets
* Reputation systems (could help a lot to fight scams!)
* PoS (solves energy issues)
* Scaling (reduces fees, makes non-financial apps viable)
顺便说一句，这包括对加密的明确乐观态度。因此，我的重点是：
*公共品资金
*社会康复/多功能钱包
*声誉系统（可以帮助打击欺诈！）
*PoS（解决能源问题）
*扩展（降低费用，使非金融应用可行）
Cryptocurrency too: it has made international money transfer easier and given many people access to robust savings tools (DAI and USDC).
加密货币也一样：它使国际汇款更加容易，并使许多人能够使用强大的储蓄工具（DAI和USDC）。
Each of those items is a Really. Big Deal.
I even think that if you give people the option of going back to a world where the technology is rewound to what it was in 2000, many would consider *that* a dystopia. I know I would!
每一个项目都是一个真正的。了不起的事
我甚至认为，如果你让人们选择回到一个技术重回2000年的世界，许多人会认为这是一个反乌托邦。我知道我会的！
Of course, there are big problems. But to me, the problems do not add up to a generalized "case against technology". They are sector-specific problems with sector-specific solutions.
AI friendliness work. Biodefense. Decentralized tech. Treaties against some really nasty stuff.
当然，也有一些大问题。但对我来说，这些问题并不能构成一个广义的“反对技术的案例”。它们是具有特定部门解决方案的特定部门问题。
AI友好工作。生物防御。去中心化的技术条约，反对一些非常恶劣的东西。
Some people responded "but technology HAS had few upsides and many downsides!"
I definitely agree there are important problems. But I also think much of the pessimism is narrative, not reality.
[thread] Some amazing technology successes of the last 20y:
https://twitter.com/VitalikBut...
Explanation 4: today's culture is just in general more driven by fear of dystopia rather than excitement about positive visions, and so everyone's first question is now "will your thing create a dystopia?"
(If true, I think this is unhealthy and we should just fight it head-on)
一些人回答说：“但技术没有什么好处，也有很多坏处！”
我完全同意有一些重要的问题。但我也认为悲观主义大多是叙述性的，而不是现实性的。
【线程】过去20年中取得了一些惊人的技术成功：
https://twitter.com/VitalikBut...
解释4：今天的文化通常更多地是由对反乌托邦的恐惧而不是对积极愿景的兴奋所驱动，因此每个人现在的第一个问题是“你的东西会创造一个反乌托邦吗？”
（如果是真的，我认为这是不健康的，我们应该迎头痛击）
* Instant global accessibility of often frontier-level knowledge
* Covid vaccines
* Remote work
* Remote friendship
* Urban navigation (smartphone maps)
* Falling prices of clothing and many other physical items
* Solar power
* Very-low-cost entertainment
*即时全球访问通常是前沿级别的知识
*新冠病毒疫苗
*远程工作
*遥远的友谊
*城市导航（智能手机地图）
*服装和许多其他实物价格下跌
*太阳能发电
*非常低成本的娱乐
* Globally democratized access to culture
* Greater information flow in authoritarian regimes (despite the censorship)
* Convenience and safety from electronic documents
* Massively simplified logistics of traveling
* Translation software (also automated captioning etc)
*全球文化民主化
*独裁政权中的信息流动更大（尽管有审查制度）
*电子文档带来的便利性和安全性
*大规模简化旅行物流
*翻译软件（还有自动字幕等）
@0xc1c4da I think if @ethstatus makes 1-2 more steps up in quality and UX and gets to the point where I can recommended it as a chat replacement to normies, it could single-handedly start turning things around!
@0xc1c4da我认为，如果@ethstatus在质量和用户体验方面再提高1-2步，并达到我可以推荐它替代normies的聊天功能的程度，它就可以单枪匹马地开始扭转局面！
@dillyflippd Listen to what parts of crypto I'm bullish on.
@DillyFlipped听听我看好crypto的哪些部分。
@econoar @80000Hours pocast is great and always gives good knowledge.
@lexfridman is always fascinating.
@HardcoreHistory is historical and... hardcore. My favorite is still the first one I listened to (the first episode of the Japanese empire series)
@econoar@80000Hours pocast很棒，总是提供很好的知识。
@莱克斯·弗里德曼总是很迷人。
@铁杆历史是历史的，而且。。。中坚分子。我最喜欢的还是我听的第一集（日本帝国系列的第一集）
@pengju20 @David_Ehrenfeld @Noahpinion I think AI-assisted film making tools will enable solo film creators, which might radically disrupt this trend.
@pengju20@David\u Ehrenfeld@Noahpinion我认为人工智能辅助的电影制作工具将使独唱电影创作者成为可能，这可能会从根本上颠覆这一趋势。
@LT70000 On land value taxes see this great series:
https://astralcodexten.substac...
@土地价值税70000 LT70000参见以下伟大系列：
https://astralcodexten.substac...