@PaulDelaware @atrupar This is not true, statistically. The one that is ahead on the raw number still has an advantage.
But the bigger issue with these polls is that non-statistical errors such as choice of sampling strategy are not included in the MOE and may be even larger.
@PaulDelaware @atrupar 这在统计上是不正确的。在原始数字上领先的那个仍然具有优势。
但这些民意调查的更大问题是，诸如抽样策略选择等非统计误差不包括在 MOE 中，而且可能更大。