@DFisman It probably had considerably higher R in Wuhan. The model at https://covid19-projections.co... (which was very accurate early on) had NYC at around 6. That's 1->46k infections in a month. Something in that range is plausible.
@DFisman It在武汉的R可能要高得多。模型位于https://covid19-projections.co...（这在早期是非常准确的）纽约市在6点左右。这是1->；一个月内感染4.6万例。在这个范围内的某些东西是合理的。