@andyaschmidt @mindstalk @Nutmeg031992 @EricTopol @PNASNews @g_leech_ No that's wrong. You're looking at R0 but R-in-practice (after considering immunity and other factors) is much, must lower, even 1.1-1.2 during moderate surges, which means 19% reduction is the difference between having a surge at all or not.
@andyaschmidt@mindstack@Nutmeg031992@EricTopol@PNASNews@g\u leech\u不，这是错误的。您看到的是R0，但实际上R（在考虑免疫力和其他因素后）要低得多，必须低得多，甚至在中度浪涌期间为1.1-1.2，这意味着减少19%是有浪涌与无浪涌之间的差异。