@andyaschmidt @mindstalk @Nutmeg031992 @EricTopol @PNASNews @g_leech_ On the first point, NYC has experienced a surge (BA2) from March to June which took average reported cases from 650 to 4500. This implies an R of about 1.1. In reality, probably somewhat higher since ascertainment degraded during that period, but not much higher.
@andyaschmidt@mindstalk@Nutmeg031992@EricTopol@PNASNews@g\u leech\u3月至6月，纽约市经历了激增（BA2），平均报告病例数从650例增加到4500例。这意味着R约为1.1。事实上，由于这一时期的查证率下降，查证率可能会稍高一些，但不会太高。