@jasonlk At $20 million you need a 1/50 hit rate to break even ignoring time value. The difference between 1/40, or even 1/20, and 1/60 is extremely hard to assess. They are all very much most likely NGMI.
@jasonlk在2000万美元时，你需要1/50的命中率来实现收支平衡，忽略时间价值。1/40，甚至1/20，和1/60之间的差异非常难以评估。他们都很可能是NGMI。