@MichaelTWorley @wsbgnl I actually don't think it's that clear. The pace of decline has slowed dramatically, making it unclear where or when it will bottom out. Slavitt's prediction of 200-250k deaths/year ongoing suggests a high persistent risk once baseline is reached, but who knows he might be wrong.
@MichaelTWorley@wsbgnl我真的不认为这很清楚。下降的速度已经大幅放缓，不清楚何时何地触底。Slavitt预测每年有20-25万人死亡，这表明一旦达到基线，就有很高的持续风险，但谁知道他可能错了。