@wsbgnl I'm not sure I'm interpreting the graphs correctly but it looks to me like every single forecast was low. Which suggests a persistent problem where everyone thinks they are forecasting the end of the pandemic and models are constrained to that rather than broader uncertainty.

@wsbgnl我不确定我对图表的解释是否正确,但在我看来,每一个预测都很低。这表明了一个持续存在的问题,即每个人都认为他们在预测大流行的结束,模型仅限于此,而不是更广泛的不确定性。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin