@wsbgnl Also assuming the shaded area is 95% confidence interval (not sure but I think so), they're badly miscalibrated. Okay to miss that occasionally (5% of the time is expected), but repeatedly and consistently indicated a problem.
@wsbgnl还假设阴影区域为95%的置信区间（不确定，但我认为是这样），它们严重校准错误。偶尔（预计有5%的时间）会错过，但反复且持续地表示存在问题。