Aeon 的最新消息
@jklmd123 @AGoldsmithEsq Parents are not the ones pushing it.
Parents:
Fully in person: 27%
Some or all online: 61%
https://twitter.com/wsbgnl/sta...
Right now, do you believe that K-12 schools should be open for in-person learning or online learning?
Completely in-person
11% - Democrats
32% - Independents
47% - Republicans
Economist/YouGov, Jan 15-18
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/lt... https://t.co/p2CQlG0dDw
@jklmd123@AGoldsmithEsq的父母不是推动它的人。
父母:
亲自出席:27%
部分或全部在线:61%
https://twitter.com/wsbgnl/sta...
现在,你认为K-12学校应该开放给个人学习还是在线学习?
完全当面
11%的民主党人
32%独立人士
47%的共和党人
经济学人/YouGov,1月15-18日
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/lt... https://t.co/p2CQlG0dDw
@wsbgnl Months of warning on Delta. It ripped through India in May. Singapore airport outbreak (vaxed) was in May. Singapore warned of increased severity including affecting kids in May.
By July, Biden was declaring independence from the virus.
@wsbgnl对Delta发出了长达数月的警告。它在五月份横扫了印度。新加坡机场疫情(VAX)发生在5月份。新加坡在5月份警告说,包括影响儿童在内的严重性正在增加。
到7月,拜登宣布脱离病毒。
@MattNoahSmith IHME composite of masks surveys says 51% in MA mask up daily. In January 2021 it said 86%.
In FL it's 38%: 13% difference. Some studies suggest 100% masking reduces spread by 25%. Simple linear estimate puts effect of 13% difference at 3.25%. Who would notice?
@MattNoahSmith IHME面具调查组合称,MA每天有51%的人使用面具。2021年1月它说了86%。
在FL中,差异为38%:13%。一些研究表明100%的掩蔽可以减少25%的传播。简单的线性估计将13%差异的影响定为3.25%。谁会注意到?
@MattNoahSmith You could look at mobility metrics and such (I don't suggest these directly measure transmission, but they are an indication of the macro effect of policies). Almost everywhere is nearly back to baseline, except downtown cores (due to persistent office WFH)
@MattNoahSmith您可以查看流动性指标等(我不建议这些指标直接衡量传播,但它们是政策宏观影响的指标)。几乎所有地方都几乎回到了基线,除了市中心核心区(由于持续的办公室WFH)
@Nutmeg031992 @trvrb I think some of that is much worse vax coverage in high risk populations (e.g. >65). Hard to tell exactly how bad because vax statistics are pretty bad too.
I think the ratio in the US is >6x. Perhaps 7x or 8x.
@肉豆蔻031992@trvrb我认为在高危人群(例如,>;65)中,其中一些vax覆盖率要差得多。很难说到底有多糟糕,因为vax统计数据也很糟糕。
我认为美国的比例是>;6倍。可能是7倍或8倍。
@Nutmeg031992 @trvrb I estimated 1 in 6 from Wachter's reports of SF hospital screening rate vs. local reported. SF has better than average testing though, US overall is likely worse.
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...
@djconnel @ScenarioRosey @hjelle_brian @Bob_Wachter 1/70 is 1429 per 100k. SF reports about 250/100k, so that's almost 6x reported to actual.
发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin@肉豆蔻031992@trvrb I根据Wachter报告的SF医院筛查率与当地报告的筛查率之比,估计六分之一。尽管SF的测试结果优于平均水平,但美国整体的测试结果可能更差。
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...
@djconnel@ScenarioRosey@hjelle_brian@Bob_Wachter 1/70为每10万人1429人。SF报告约为250/100k,这几乎是实际报告的6倍。
@danielwinlander @EricTopol @TheLancet I stand corrected. Hadn't seen this.
https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstr...
@AeonCoin @danielwinlander @EricTopol @TheLancet Another reverse cone of uncertainty from last week: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstr...
发表时间:4年前 作者:Carl T. Bergstrom @CT_Bergstrom@danielwinlander@EricTopol@Lance我被纠正了。我没见过这个。
https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstr...
@AeonCoin@danielwinlander@EricTopol@取消了上周的另一个不确定的倒锥:https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstr...
@danielwinlander @EricTopol @TheLancet Different issue. The forecast of a very fast decline in January-February was largely accurate, and not the bizarre sort of nonsense they put out in 2020. Yes, some variants did come and mess things up, months later. And may again.
@danielwinlander@EricTopol@最后一个不同的问题。对1-2月经济快速下滑的预测在很大程度上是准确的,而不是他们在2020年发表的那种离奇的胡说八道。是的,几个月后,一些变种确实出现并把事情搞砸了。也许又是这样。