@danielwinlander @EricTopol @TheLancet They completely revamped their model after that, but fair to be skeptical of a group that could have ever produced a model that bad.

@danielwinlander@EricTopol@TheLance他们在那之后彻底改造了他们的模型，但公平地说，他们怀疑有一个团体曾经生产过如此糟糕的模型。

@Nutmeg031992 @juli_bg_bs I meant 40-60% of over 50. That's around 40-60 million. Plus a few million more younger at higher risk. Won't be that many doses. For smaller surges, should be sufficient. So we'll have to see.

@肉豆蔻031992@juli_bg_bs我指的是50岁以上人群的40-60%。大约是4000-6000万。再加上几百万年轻人的风险更高。不会有那么多剂量。对于较小的浪涌，应足够。所以我们得看看。

@_waleedshahid https://twitter.com/drmayaange...

@_华莱士https://twitter.com/drmayaange...

@justthefacts85 Nothing says "we don't care if schools actually teach anything, just do day care" like that, except all then other policies that are also saying that.

@除了所有其他的政策也都这么说之外，没有任何东西像这样说“我们不在乎学校是否真的教任何东西，只要做日托就行了”。

@Nutmeg031992 @juli_bg_bs Right, the question is just what is "a lot". If you have another surge where 40-60% of the population is being infected and reinfected, or perhaps similar in slow motion over months, then even tens of millions of doses is not really enough.

@肉豆蔻031992@juli_bg_是的，问题是什么是“很多”。如果你有另一次激增，其中40-60%的人口正在被感染和再次感染，或者可能在几个月内以慢动作出现类似情况，那么即使是数千万次剂量也不够。

@mpmoon @JuliaRaifman @MarkedByCovid @wsbgnl Perhaps not. We can be honest and have clarity about about what's going on in any case.

@也许不是。在任何情况下，我们都可以诚实和清楚地了解正在发生的事情。

@mpmoon @JuliaRaifman @MarkedByCovid @wsbgnl Humans being humans.
But when you consider the level of voluntary compliance is quite high (viral Karen-in-Target videos are very much the exception), people do walk the walk, they just don't want to walk all by themselves.

@mpmoon@JuliaRaifman@MarkedByCovid@wsbgnl人类是人类。
但是当你认为自愿遵守的水平相当高（目标视频中的病毒凯伦是非常例外）时，人们确实会徒步行走，他们不想独自行走。

@Nutmeg031992 @juli_bg_bs There will be "a lot" of doses but what remains to be seen is how many are needed. Will spread slow way down or will it be more like England post-delta and then potentially a fall/winter surge again. Or another nasty variant. Who knows.

@肉豆蔻031992@juli_bg_bs将有“很多”剂量，但仍有待观察的是需要多少剂量。将缓慢蔓延，或者更像英格兰后三角洲，然后可能再次出现秋冬潮。或者是另一个讨厌的变种。谁知道呢。

@grrttweaver @TaakiTiki @BrianLenzkes Depends for what. To provide a high degree of personal safety in a hazardous environment? No. To reduce overall spread by a measurable amount? Yes.
In terms of physical aerosol particles, CDC measured reduced concentration at about 70%, enough to claim some (least) protection.

@grrttwaver@TaakiTiki@BrianLenzkes取决于什么。在危险环境中提供高度的人身安全？否。以可测量的数量减少总体差价？对
在物理气溶胶粒子方面，CDC测量到的浓度降低约为70%，足以要求一些（最少）保护。

@mpmoon @JuliaRaifman @MarkedByCovid @wsbgnl People do not want to be the one odd person wearing a mask when others aren't. But when policies are in place, most do. US reached a peak of about 80% regular mask wearing in 2021.

@mpmoon@JuliaRaifman@MarkedByCovid@wsbgnl人们不想成为一个奇怪的戴面具的人，而其他人不戴面具。但当政策到位时，大多数人会这样做。美国在2021达到了大约80%的定期面具磨损的峰值。

@Nutmeg031992 @juli_bg_bs Long way off. But okay availability for high risk people with good access to medical care sooner.

@肉豆蔻031992@juli_bg_离我们很远。但对于高风险人群来说，可以更快地获得医疗服务。

@juli_bg_bs His assumption of Paxlovid being meaningfully available won't be true by mid Feb.
Case rates will be a lot lower, probably.

@juli_bg_认为，到2月中旬，Paxlovid有意义可用的假设将不会成立。
病例率可能会低很多。

@Guddera @grrttweaver @BrianLenzkes No
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@Guddera@grrttweaver@BrianLenzkes No
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@TaakiTiki @grrttweaver @BrianLenzkes "Slowest car"
Does that mean the car doesn't work?
No.

@TaakiTiki@grrttwaver@BrianLenzkes“最慢的车”
这是不是意味着这辆车坏了？
不

@hjelle_brian You mean it doesn't really have an R0 of 80?
/s

@hjelle_brian你是说它的R0值不是80？
/

@510bythebay @wsbgnl @myrabatchelder That's true.

@510bythebay@wsbgnl@myrabatcherd这是真的。

@Clarksterh @ThomasHoufek @statesdj Nothing prevents a completely different pandemic from starting while this one is still going on.
Having a robust stockpile is a good thing. See early 2020 for what can happen when you don't.

@Clarksterh@ThomasHoufek@statesdj没有任何东西可以阻止一场完全不同的大流行，而这场大流行仍在继续。
拥有强大的库存是一件好事。看看2020年初，如果你不知道会发生什么。

@statesdj Having a robust stockpile is not bad at all.
Nothing prevents a sudden worsening of this pandemic or even starting a new one while this one is still going on.
I question whether emptying it is a good idea. I haven't seen any information about whether or when it will be refilled

@新泽西州拥有强大的库存一点也不坏。
没有什么能阻止这场大流行的突然恶化，甚至在这场大流行还在继续的时候开始一场新的大流行。
我怀疑清空它是否是个好主意。我还没有看到任何关于是否或何时重新加注的信息

@510bythebay @wsbgnl @myrabatchelder That question was actually multiple choice. For the most part, other than that one highly politicized slice, mostly there was a spread of opinions across various mixes of in-person vs remote.

@510bythebay@wsbgnl@myrabatcheld这个问题实际上是多项选择题。在大多数情况下，除了这一高度政治化的部分外，大多数情况下，人们的观点是通过各种各样的个人与远程的混合传播的。

@grrttweaver @BrianLenzkes CDC has advised on graduated effectiveness of different types of masks for at least 9 months and probably longer (didn't check any earlier revisions of this page prior to April 2021).
https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru...

@grrttweaver@BrianLenzkes疾病预防控制中心已就不同类型口罩的分级有效性提供建议至少9个月，可能更长（在2021年4月之前未检查本页的任何早期修订）。
https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru...