@happyhexer @BarstoolBT @linseymarr @LaurenPelley Do you actually wash your hands every time you touch an item in your home that was potentially contaminated weeks earlier? It seems easier to me to take precautions when items come in (and still wash hands too, but not absurdly frequently)

@happyhexer@BarstoolBT@linseymarr@LaurenPelley你真的每次触摸家中几周前可能被污染的物品时都要洗手吗？在我看来，当物品进来时，采取预防措施似乎更容易（而且仍然洗手，但不是经常洗手）

@happyhexer @BarstoolBT @linseymarr @LaurenPelley Look at the X axis. Little further degradation even after 7 days.

@Happyhever@BarstoolBT@linseymarr@LaurenPelley看看X轴。即使在7天后，也几乎没有进一步的降解。

@marwa_zaatari @vanillathundhh @cleanairstars @LazarusLong13 @MikeLaninga @CorsIAQ @JimRosenthal4 @CleanAirCrewOrg @DavidElfstrom @3M Can't get noise without paying for it.

@marwa_zaatari@vanillathundhh@cleanairstars@LazarusLong13@MikeLaninga@CorsIAQ@JimRosenthal4@cleanarreworg@DavidElfstrom@3M如果不付费，就无法获得噪音。

@RadCentrism @wastelndwalker @graemeblake The thing is, it isn't really exponential, since its discrete. Exponential is a useful model for a "large" population.
This is why even with R>1, many outbreaks can still remain small and burn out.

@RadCentrism@wastelndwalker@graemeblake事实上，它不是指数型的，因为它是离散的。对于“大”人口来说，指数模型是一个有用的模型。
这就是为什么即使使用R>；1.许多疫情仍可能很小，并会逐渐消失。

@RadCentrism @wastelndwalker @graemeblake Well, not to zero.

@RadCentrism@wastelndwalker@graemeblake嗯，不是零。

@marwa_zaatari @cleanairstars @LazarusLong13 @MikeLaninga @CorsIAQ @JimRosenthal4 @CleanAirCrewOrg @DavidElfstrom @3M 👏

@marwa_zaatari@cleanairstars@LazarusLong13@MikeLaninga@CorsIAQ@JimRosenthal4@CleanAirCrewOrg@DavidElfstrom@3M👏

@Noahpinion Maybe models are fine and just garbage in garbage out. Both possible.

@没什么大不了的，也许模型很好，只是垃圾进垃圾出。两者都有可能。

@janko_js @ajruddy71 @lisa_iannattone Should have been specified then. I wasn't the one who pointed out that if you eat all the jelly beans in that model you are certain to die. It's a reasonable inference.

@janko_js@ajruddy71@lisa_iannattone当时应该被指定。我并不是那个指出如果你吃了那种型号的果冻豆你肯定会死的人。这是一个合理的推论。

@wastelndwalker @graemeblake @RadCentrism That's exponential with a base of 1

@wastelndwalker@graemeblake@RadCentrism是以1为基数的指数

@MichaelAArouet @FT Flu it is a lot less contagious. 10x more likely to get infected plus same mortality if infected = 10x higher mortality.

@MichaelAArouet@FT Flu它的传染性要小得多。10倍的感染可能性加上相同的死亡率（如果被感染的话）=10倍更高的死亡率。

@CDCDirector This is what it looks like without moving the goal posts https://t.co/dMKaG7QC5g

@这就是不移动球门柱的情况https://t.co/dMKaG7QC5g

@blueskydream80 @jselanikio @mkarolian @EricTopol @OurWorldInData Heh, just enlarge or shrink the X axis to say whatever you want. Not focusing on you here, both equally arbitrary.

@blueskydream80@jselanikio@mkarolian@EricTopol@OurWorldInData-Heh，只要放大或缩小X轴就可以了。在这里不关注你，两人都同样武断。

@janko_js @ajruddy71 @lisa_iannattone Yeah okay, it's still bad though, because it implies that if you eat all the beans you will certainly die, which is false. Of course, this depends on the size of the jar, which was not stated. But with a small jar, say 20 beans, it is a very bad model.

@janko_js@ajruddy71@lisa_iannattone是的，这仍然很糟糕，因为这意味着如果你吃了所有的豆子，你肯定会死，这是错误的。当然，这取决于罐子的大小，但没有说明。但是有一个小罐子，比如说20颗豆子，这是一个非常糟糕的模型。

@janko_js @ajruddy71 @lisa_iannattone It's not clear because one poison bean per jar suggests you get infected once. That's not the case.

@janko_js@ajruddy71@lisa_iannattone目前尚不清楚，因为每罐一颗毒豆表明你感染过一次。事实并非如此。

@ritwik_priya @Birdyword NYC reached around 100/m/day in 2020.

@ritwik_priya@Birdyword NYC在2020年达到了100米/天左右。

@chontang @CasualTrader6 @banhmifeedme @biancoresearch The WSJ piece goes into more detail. LME didn't believe he could pay his margin (at least not timely), and the resulting losses could have bankrupted market participants. That is why they broke the trades. Allegedly.

@chontang@CasualTrader6@banhmifeedme@biancoresearch《华尔街日报》的文章更详细。LME认为他无法支付保证金（至少不能及时支付），由此造成的损失可能导致市场参与者破产。这就是他们打破交易的原因。据称

@chontang @CasualTrader6 @banhmifeedme @biancoresearch Correction: That was alleged in the thread. Maybe accurate, maybe not.
https://twitter.com/biancorese...

@chontang@CasualTrader6@banhmifeedme@biancoresearch更正：这在帖子中被指控。也许准确，也许不准确。
https://twitter.com/biancorese...

@chontang @CasualTrader6 @banhmifeedme @biancoresearch And no, you don't just need to live up to deliverables, you also need to live up to timely variation margin. These are path-dependent markets.

@chontang@CasualTrader6@banhmifeedme@biancoresearch不，你不仅需要满足可交付成果的要求，还需要满足及时变化的要求。这些都是路径依赖型市场。

@chontang @CasualTrader6 @banhmifeedme @biancoresearch Heh, he "solved" it by breaking the trades.

@chontang@CasualTrader6@banhmifeedme@biancoresearch-Heh，他通过打破交易“解决”了这个问题。

@chontang @CasualTrader6 @banhmifeedme @biancoresearch You can do that, but you still have to post collateral, not just "gee I have this kinda-similar thing over here, don't worry about it". The longs need to get paid, they may well be short something else.

@chontang@CasualTrader6@banhmifeedme@biancoresearch你可以这样做，但你仍然需要发布抵押品，而不仅仅是“天啊，我这里有类似的东西，别担心”。多头需要得到报酬，他们很可能会做空其他东西。