Aeon 的最新消息
@AGoldsmithEsq @herrmanndigital @scott_squires @slippy_maxwell @lapublichealth Short term it's directionally valid (rising or falling) because RAT usage isn't changing that fast. Absolute number almost meaningless and also impossible to compare across time.
@AGoldsmithEsq@Herrmandigital@scott\u squires@slippy\u maxwell@lapublichealth短期内它在方向上是有效的(上升或下降),因为老鼠的使用变化没有那么快。绝对数几乎没有意义,也不可能跨时间进行比较。
@_Kodos_ @humftydrumpfty @DrTomFrieden I never claimed that.
"If masks were effective then immunity wouldn't even be a factor"
Again, this is wrong. Paper says 19%. It doesn't say 100% where immunity wouldn't be a factor. Try reading and understanding. It's not that hard.
@_Kodos\uuU@humftydrumpfty@DrTomFrieden我从来没有这样说过。
“如果面具有效,那么免疫力甚至不是一个因素”
同样,这是错误的。报纸上说是19%。它并没有说100%的免疫力不是一个因素。尝试阅读和理解。没那么难。
@_Kodos_ @humftydrumpfty @DrTomFrieden You could instead read what already wrote. Hint: first sentence
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...
@_Kodos_ @humftydrumpfty @DrTomFrieden "that means masks now are useless"
This is also false. During the most rapid spread of a new variant with high immune escape (i.e. limited immunity) and sudden reopening, 19% isn't enough to matter much, but once that period of rapid spread passes, that's no longer the case.
@_Kodos\uuU@humftydrumpfty@DrTomFrieden您可以阅读已经写下的内容。提示:第一句话
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...
@_Kodos\uuU@humftydrumpfty@DrTomFrieden“这意味着面具现在没用了”
这也是错误的。在免疫逃逸率高(即免疫力有限)的新变种迅速传播并突然重新开放的过程中,19%不足以产生多大影响,但一旦快速传播期过去,情况就不再如此了。
@_Kodos_ @humftydrumpfty @DrTomFrieden The 19% wasn't derived from one country, it was derived from data across many countries. Read the study.
What I said was that it isn't inconsistent with one spike in one country, which it isn't.
@_Kodos\uu@humftydrumpfty@DrTomFrieden这19%并不是来自一个国家,而是来自许多国家的数据。阅读研究报告。
我所说的是,它与一个国家的一个峰值并不矛盾,事实并非如此。
@wsbgnl By way of comparison, in countries where the covid relief took the form more of payroll continuation, furloughed workers were not counted as unemployed. US relied more on enhanced UI and direct payments, which does count toward unemployed.
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...
@jfeldman_epi People being paid to stay home shouldn't even be counted as unemployed. They're being paid to do a job (stop transmission).
发表时间:5年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin@wsbgnl相比之下,在新冠肺炎救济更多采取继续发放工资的形式的国家,休假工人不被视为失业。美国更多地依赖于增强的用户界面和直接支付,这对失业者来说确实很重要。
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...
@jfeldman_epi支付工资待在家里的人甚至不应被视为失业者。他们被雇来做一项工作(停止传输)。
@_Kodos_ @humftydrumpfty @DrTomFrieden Also, I don't know what the changes were exactly, but to correct what you said, some measures were lifted over the course of February, starting February 4, which was right at the start of the surge. https://t.co/Q7nh7CLHHF
@_Kodos@humftydrumpfty@DrTomFrieden同样,我不知道具体的变化是什么,但为了纠正你所说的,从2月4日开始,在2月期间取消了一些措施,这正是激增的开始。https://t.co/Q7nh7CLHHF
@_Kodos_ @humftydrumpfty @DrTomFrieden At most, what this shows is that it may be essentially harmless to remove masks during a brief window of extremely rapid spread (but in practice may not be worth doing so).
@_Kodos@humftydrumpfty@DrTomFrieden至多,这表明,在传播速度极快的短时间内去除口罩基本上是无害的(但实际上可能不值得这么做)。
@_Kodos_ @humftydrumpfty @DrTomFrieden "that means masks now are useless"
This is also false. During the most rapid spread of a new variant with high immune escape (i.e. limited immunity) and sudden reopening, 19% isn't enough to matter much, but once that period of rapid spread passes, that's no longer the case.
@_Kodos\uuU@humftydrumpfty@DrTomFrieden“这意味着面具现在没用了”
这也是错误的。在免疫逃逸率高(即免疫力有限)的新变种迅速传播并突然重新开放的过程中,19%不足以产生多大影响,但一旦快速传播期过去,情况就不再如此了。
@_Kodos_ @humftydrumpfty @DrTomFrieden "Masks either work or they don't"
This is false. Every single study and every single intervention for that matter, has a degree of efficacy. In this case reduction by 19%, not "all or nothing" by 100%.
19% needs to be considered relative to the totality of conditions.
@_Kodos@humftydrumpfty@DrTomFrieden“口罩要么起作用要么不起作用”
这是错误的。针对这一问题的每一项研究和每一项干预都有一定的功效。在这种情况下,减少19%,而不是“全部或全部”减少100%。
相对于所有条件,需要考虑19%。
@sri_srikrishna @J30607610 @AbraarKaran @RanuDhillon Have you ever measured this AP-1512HH on the second to highest speed. It still seems (totally subjective "hold hand in airflow" test) to move quite a bit of air with MUCH lower noise.
@sri\u srikrishna@J30607610@AbraarKaran@RanuDhillon你有没有测量过这架AP-1512HH的第二高速度。它似乎仍然(完全主观的“握紧气流”测试)以更低的噪音移动相当多的空气。