Aeon 的最新消息
@hayes1942 @DrTomFrieden And yet somehow willing to spend hundreds of billions per year on a military budget. If you count terrorism, there hasn't been a major attack on the US in 20 years and if you stick to conventional military attacks it's been 80 years.
@hayes1942 @DrTomFrieden 但不知何故愿意每年花费数千亿美元用于军事预算。如果算上恐怖主义,20年来美国没有发生重大袭击,如果坚持常规军事袭击,已经80年了。
@myrabatchelder Seems gone
https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru...
@myrabatchelder 似乎不见了
https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru.. .
@Marco_Piani @AlbertBourla Specifically this
"This analysis found that there is an 84% increase"
No it didn't! "There is an" implies factual certainty but this study (probably any study) can't and didn't conclude that.
Ladapo isn't remotely alone in this imprecision of language, but it's still false.
@Marco_Piani @AlbertBourla 特别是这个
“这项分析发现增加了 84%”
不,它没有! “有一个”意味着事实的确定性,但这项研究(可能是任何研究)不能也没有得出这样的结论。
在这种不精确的语言中,Ladapo 并不孤单,但它仍然是错误的。
@PPEtoheros @danaparish @JudahWorldChamp @jljcolorado @WHO @CDCgov @DFisman @AbraarKaran @mehdirhasan @DrEricDing @EnemyInAState @RealSexyCyborg @sri_srikrishna @GosiaGasperoPhD @lisa_iannattone @nilikm @rachael_levy @JuliaRaifman @michael_hoerger @BenjaminMateus7 @awilkinson @bermaninstitute @DmodosCutter @COVIDnewsfast @PeoplesCDC @BNOFeed @TRyanGregory @jonlevyBU The instructions PDF is still there https://multimedia.3m.com/mws/...
@PPEtoheros @danaparish @JudahWorldChamp @jljcolorado @WHO @CDCgov @DFisman @AbraarKaran @mehdirhasan @DrEricDing @EnemyInAState @RealSexyCyborg @sri_srikrishna @GosiaGasperoPhD @lisa_iannattone @nilikm @rachael_levy @JuliaRaifman @michael_hoerger @BenjaminMateusmod7 @awilkinson @hoerger @BenjaminMateusmod7 @awilkinson @BNOFeed @TRyanGregory @jonlevyBU 说明 PDF 仍然存在 https://multimedia.3m.com/mws/...
@Marco_Piani @AlbertBourla Haha, without even looking at it I'm sure it is!
But yeah I agree stating a point estimate with wide uncertainty as a simple fact is dishonest. As I said, I was saying this in 2020 about multiple "100% effective" claims.
@Marco_Piani @AlbertBourla 哈哈,不用看我就确定是这样!
但是,是的,我同意将具有广泛不确定性的点估计作为一个简单的事实是不诚实的。正如我所说,我在 2020 年说的是多个“100% 有效”的声明。
@Marco_Piani @AlbertBourla Agree to disagree. Also "in South Africa" is also a specifically a lie. "in our trial in South Africa" would be accurate. This isn't a small difference. It's possible to study effectiveness in an entire country (population), but this wasn't that.
@Marco_Piani @AlbertBourla 同意不同意。另外“在南非”也是一个特别的谎言。 “在我们在南非的审判中”是准确的。这不是一个小区别。可以研究整个国家(人口)的有效性,但事实并非如此。
@PPEtoheros @danaparish @JudahWorldChamp @jljcolorado @WHO @CDCgov @DFisman @AbraarKaran @mehdirhasan @DrEricDing @EnemyInAState @RealSexyCyborg @sri_srikrishna @GosiaGasperoPhD @lisa_iannattone @nilikm @rachael_levy @JuliaRaifman @michael_hoerger @BenjaminMateus7 @awilkinson @bermaninstitute @DmodosCutter @COVIDnewsfast @PeoplesCDC @BNOFeed @TRyanGregory @jonlevyBU 3M has since removed the web page. It was there in 2020, and through at least most of 2021.
@PPEtoheros @danaparish @JudahWorldChamp @jljcolorado @WHO @CDCgov @DFisman @AbraarKaran @mehdirhasan @DrEricDing @EnemyInAState @RealSexyCyborg @sri_srikrishna @GosiaGasperoPhD @lisa_iannattone @nilikm @rachael_levy @JuliaRaifman @michael_hoerger @BenjaminMateusmod7 @awilkinson @hoerger @BenjaminMateusmod7 @awilkinson @BNOFeed @TRyanGregory @jonlevyBU 3M 已经删除了该网页。它存在于 2020 年,并且至少持续到 2021 年的大部分时间。
@JudahWorldChamp @PPEtoheros @jljcolorado @WHO @CDCgov @DFisman @AbraarKaran @mehdirhasan @DrEricDing @EnemyInAState @RealSexyCyborg @sri_srikrishna @GosiaGasperoPhD @lisa_iannattone @danaparish @nilikm What study is that?
@JudahWorldChamp @PPEtoheros @jljcolorado @WHO @CDCgov @DFisman @AbraarKaran @mehdirhasan @DrEricDing @EnemyInAState @RealSexyCyborg @sri_srikrishna @GosiaGasperoPhD @lisa_iannattone @danaparish @nilikm 那是什么研究?