@NRafter @Meyer_HM @ashishkjha @ezraklein @TomBollyky @TheLancet Not all. South Korea is mentioned in the article and barely had any lockdowns. Not sure if it had any involving stay-at-home orders.

@nR在@Meyer_HM@ashishkjha@ezraklein@TomBollyky@thelance之后不是全部。文章中提到了韩国，几乎没有任何封锁。不确定是否有任何涉及留在家里的命令。

@jgross2812 @Meyer_HM @ashishkjha @ezraklein @TomBollyky @TheLancet He wrote solidarity not mobility, and the article does point to public trust in each other, not just trust in government and institutions.

@jgross2812@Meyer_HM@ashishkjha@ezraklein@TomBollyky@他写的声明是团结而非流动性，这篇文章确实指出了公众对彼此的信任，而不仅仅是对政府和机构的信任。

@jeremyfaust @roby_bhatt @notdred If the goal is to de-escalate mitigation, you get a significant timing head start on a three dose series which MAY work. Surely that is worth something, no?

@JeremyFast@roby_bhatt@notdred如果目标是降低缓解措施，那么在三剂量系列中，你会在时间上领先一大步，这可能会奏效。这肯定是值得的，不是吗？

@fowerli @ubud_id @thrasherxy https://www.npr.org/sections/c...

@fowerli@ubud id@thrasherxyhttps://www.npr.org/sections/c...

@fowerli @ubud_id @thrasherxy 400k died under Trump, the rest under Biden.

@fowerli@ubud_id@thrasherxy 40万在特朗普治下去世，其余在拜登治下去世。

@jodiemburton @GermHunterMD @jeremyfaust It's exactly on brand. He did the same thing with boosters.

@jodiemburton@GermHunterMD@JeremyFast这正是我们的品牌。他对助推器也做了同样的事。

@mr_raiderMD @EricTopol @SubstackInc That's the whole issue here. For hospitalizations, the outcome is much less frequent for lower risk subgroups.

@_raiderMD@EricTopol@SubstackInc先生，这就是这里的全部问题。对于住院治疗，低风险亚组的结果要少得多。

@mr_raiderMD @EricTopol @SubstackInc Yes but the question raised in his substack was magnitude of "benefit" in different groups. So one would compare NNT between the groups, no?

@_raiderMD@EricTopol@substack inc.是的，但在他的substack中提出的问题是不同群体的“效益”的大小。所以我们会比较两组之间的NNT，不是吗？

@jenjenkra @Mgeotsa @ApicellaCarmel @kevin_doyle @BNODesk And finally, he didn't even do a good job on vaccinating! There was no effort to really scale outreach. 'Hard no' republicans would likely never change their mind but there are numerous disadvantaged populations who vaxed slowly due to access and lack of information, not antivax.

@jenjenkra@Mgeotsa@ApicellaCarmel@kevin_doyle@BNODesk，最后，他甚至没有做好疫苗接种工作！他说，没有任何努力真正扩大外展规模“坚决反对”的共和党人可能永远不会改变他们的想法，但有许多弱势群体由于接触和缺乏信息，而不是因为反VAX而缓慢地VAX。

@jenjenkra @Mgeotsa @ApicellaCarmel @kevin_doyle @BNODesk Also, by spring 2021, it was clear that his goal of 70% vaxed by july fourth was going to be missed (and it was). The data were clear.

“Jejnnkra@ MGeOtSa@ ApCeleCalMelel@ Kevni-Doyle @ BoNoDoice也，到2021春季，很明显，他在7月4日的70%个目标被错过了。数据很清楚。

@jenjenkra @Mgeotsa @ApicellaCarmel @kevin_doyle @BNODesk Yes, he should have known. The polls on people being a 'hard no' on vaccination (around 20%), especially Republicans, basically never changed.
Also, we're not talking about when he was running here, but about abandoning plans beyond vaxing. That happened jan-may 2021.

@jenjenkra@Mgeotsa@ApicellaCarmel@kevin_doyle@BNODesk是的，他应该知道的。关于人们对疫苗接种持“坚决反对”态度（约20%）的民调基本上从未改变，尤其是共和党人。
此外，我们谈论的不是他在这里竞选的时间，而是放弃vaxing之外的计划。那发生在2021年5月。

@consequencerisk @chrislittlewoo8 @theysayitsrare 1. It's a small sample, who knows whether it generalizes.
2. Nearly all of the population at high risk of hospitalization in England is vaxed. That unvaxed are showing up here in significant numbers says their risk is much higher.

@consequencerisk@chrislittlewoo8@Theysayits罕见1。这是一个小样本，谁知道它是否具有普遍性。
2.在英国，几乎所有住院高危人群都是VAX。大量未征税的人出现在这里，表示他们的风险要高得多。

@mr_raiderMD @EricTopol @SubstackInc That's fair, but with something like covid, you can, under some conditions, assume (nearly) everyone will be exposed, and still infer an NNT, which in that case is largely comparable across subpopulations.

@_raiderMD@EricTopol@SubstackInc先生，这是公平的，但对于像新冠病毒这样的病毒，在某些情况下，你可以假设（几乎）每个人都会暴露在病毒中，并且仍然推断出NNT，在这种情况下，它在很大程度上是可比的。

@BillHanage There is a corollary to loud voices not always been correct or credible, which is that soft spoken, polite, and empathetic sounding people aren't always correct either. Tone just isn't a good way to judge.

@BillHanage大声说话并不总是正确或可信的，这是一个必然的结果，那就是说话温和、礼貌、听起来有同理心的人也不总是正确的。语气不是一个好的判断方式。

@EricTopol @SubstackInc Is NNT a reasonable basis on which to state "benefit"?

@EricTopol@SubstackInc是否是陈述“利益”的合理依据？

@buzzindelhi @michaelmina_lab Not zero but MUCH lower than day 5, and for those that are, likely to only spread for a day or two, maybe, not several more days.

@buzzindelhi@michaelmina_lab不是零，但比第5天低很多，对于那些可能只传播一两天，可能不会再传播几天的人来说。

@jenjenkra @Mgeotsa @ApicellaCarmel @kevin_doyle @BNODesk If he had actually done all these things, then perhaps it could be said that he did all he could, but he didn't. He bet the entire response and recovery effort on vaccinating a largely unwilling population, and lost.

@jenjenkra@Mgeotsa@ApicellaCarmel@kevin_doyle@BNODesk如果他真的做了所有这些事情，那么也许可以说他做了他能做的一切，但他没有。他把所有的反应和恢复努力都押在了一个基本上不愿意接种疫苗的人群身上，结果输了。

@jenjenkra @Mgeotsa @ApicellaCarmel @kevin_doyle @BNODesk Also: workplace safety standard (NOT shoehorning a vaccine mandate into OSHA, but actual workplace conditions e.g. ventilation, PPE, etc.). This was part of his plan and development of standard initiated by OSHA in January 2021 only to be narrowed and dropped.

@jenjenkra@Mgeotsa@ApicellaCarmel@kevin_doyle@BNODesk还包括：工作场所安全标准（不是将疫苗授权书硬塞进OSHA，而是实际工作场所条件，例如通风、PPE等）。这是他的计划和发展的一部分，由OSHA在2021年1月开始，只是缩小和下降。

@jenjenkra @Mgeotsa @ApicellaCarmel @kevin_doyle @BNODesk In short: Biden decided to drop all plans and only vaccinate, despite clear resistance on vaccination. And then was very slow to pivot back to a (somewhat) more comprehensive approach that was closer to his original plan. These were bad decisions.

@简而言之：拜登决定放弃所有计划，只接种疫苗，尽管对疫苗接种有明显的抵制。然后很慢地转向（某种程度上）更全面、更接近他最初计划的方法。这些都是糟糕的决定。

@jenjenkra @Mgeotsa @ApicellaCarmel @kevin_doyle @BNODesk Germany made rapid tests freely and widely available, including test sites in neighborhoods that could give a negative test pass for access to high risk activities. UK sent out free tests. Both in early 2021. Biden dragged feet until 2022.

@jenjenkra@Mgeotsa@ApicellaCarmel@kevin_doyle@BNODesk Germany免费广泛提供快速检测，包括社区内的检测点，这些检测点可能会为进入高风险活动提供阴性检测通过。英国发出了免费测试。两者都在2021年初。拜登一直拖到2022年。