Aeon 的最新消息
@AlbertFiorino @fgiovannini123 @susan_dagostino @jensstoltenberg @vonderleyen @OlafScholz @EmmanuelMacron @eucopresident @RobertaMetsola @NATOpress @JsecNato @ZelenskyyUa @SecDef @POTUS @VP Needing to escalate to nuke when confronted with what is perceived to be a much weaker military wouldn't?
@AlbertFiorino@fgiovannini 123@susan_dagostino@jensstoltenberg@vonderleyen@OlafScholz@EmmanuelMacron@eucopresident@RobertaMetsola@NATOpress@JsecNato@ZelenskyyUa@SecDef@POTUS@VP在面对被认为是一支更弱的军队时需要升级到核弹部队,是吗?
@dkonigs @wsbgnl That's an awfully short attention span. That's only several months, and with two major variant outbreaks. That doesn't imply these levels are unrealistic in general. Also, they weren't impossible in all local areas, for example, Florida was moderate and low post-delta.
@dkonigs@wsbgnl这是一个非常短的注意力跨度。这仅仅是几个月的时间,而且有两次重大的变种暴发。这并不意味着这些水平总体上是不现实的。此外,并非所有地方都不可能做到这一点,例如,佛罗里达州是中低度后三角洲地区。
@crypto_curious2 @aeyakovenko @balajis @antoniogm At this point he may be in a tough spot, having essentially made a mistake and bit off more than he can chew, but that still doesn't imply irrational.
@crypto_curious2@aeyakovenko@balajis@antoniogm在这一点上,他可能处于一个艰难的境地,基本上犯了一个错误,咬了很多他无法咀嚼的东西,但这仍然不意味着不理性。
@crypto_curious2 @aeyakovenko @balajis @antoniogm Possibly, if he thinks he can withstand the sanctions and achieve military objectives, ideally easily. He may have been wrong on that, but that doesn't make it irrational.
@crypto_curious2@aeyakovenko@balajis@antoniogm,如果他认为自己能够经受住制裁并实现军事目标,那么这可能是最容易实现的。他可能在这方面错了,但这并不意味着这是不合理的。
@crypto_curious2 @aeyakovenko @balajis @antoniogm You'd need a better assessment and sources on that than some twexperts talking about long covid or brain cancer. Otherwise, anyone wanting to engage in nuclear blackmail without limit can (and likely will) feign being unstable.
@crypto_curious2@aeyakovenko@balajis@antoniogm你需要一个更好的评估和信息来源,而不是一些谈论长期新冠病毒或脑癌的专家。否则,任何想要无限度地进行核讹诈的人都可以(而且很可能会)假装不稳定。
@sarahiz @AstroKatie There are ways to get there. Better vaccines, wide availability of a variety of treatments (current treatments, even if available, are often contraindicated), PEP, ventilation, fast screening, transmission recedes to negligible levels, etc. Not by 🙈🙉🙊
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...
@Alexmenter @VincentRK A rational "offramp" to pre-pandemic baseline behavior is morbidity and mortality at pre-pandemic baseline levels. That's not even true for healthy vaccinated people at this point, much less those more vulnerable.
发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin@sarahiz@AstroKatie有很多方法可以到达那里。更好的疫苗、多种治疗方法的广泛可用性(目前的治疗方法,即使可用,也往往是禁忌)、PEP、通风、快速筛查、传播退到可忽略的水平等,而不是通过🙈🙉🙊
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...
@Alexmenter@VincentRK大流行前基线行为的合理“出口”是大流行前基线水平的发病率和死亡率。在这一点上,健康接种疫苗的人甚至都不是这样,更不用说那些更脆弱的人了。
@MarvinH2_G2 @alexmeshkin Conflict between nuclear armed powers is never a joke but I don't know why people claim that any particular action short of nuclear first strike automatically turns into nuclear escalation. It doesn't
@MarvinH2_G2@alexmeshkin核武装力量之间的冲突从来都不是一个笑话,但我不知道为什么人们会声称,除核第一次打击之外的任何特定行动都会自动变成核升级。事实并非如此