Aeon 的最新消息

@LupineChemist @floydophone @adamnvillani @JLarky @antoniogm This map breaks it down by precinct so the areas are a bit smaller and it's still hard to find hard red areas in CA. Pretty much only up north. Compared with say rural NV, AZ, even rural CA is pretty purple.
https://www.nytimes.com/intera...

@羽扇豆化学家@floydophone@adamnvillani@JLarky@antoniogm这张地图按选区划分,因此面积稍小,仍然很难在加利福尼亚州找到硬红色区域。几乎只在北部。与say rural NV、AZ相比,即使是乡村CA也是相当紫色的。
https://www.nytimes.com/intera...

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@MatthewDavidH @_stah @ibrake4ants @jAndyGeorge @michael04121218 Huge is relative. It's significant, I agree. I was probably even more significant in 2020 with lower outside activity/contacts. But I'm going to go back to 2000h at work vs say 20h of holiday parties. Latter may be higher risk per hour but not 100x.

@MatthewDavidH@u stah@ibrake4ants@jAndyGeorge@michael04121218巨型是相对的。我同意,这很重要。2020年,我的影响力可能更大,外部活动/联系更少。但我会回到2000小时的工作时间,而不是20小时的假日派对。后者每小时的风险可能更高,但不是100倍。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wabbit011235813 @wsbgnl @sleepyknave Correct

@wabbit011235813@wsbgnl@睡眠导航正确

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@_DavidGlassman @denise_dewald @Bob_Wachter 31 times in this study, which is really just a poll, so likely pretty weak, but again it's not the exact number that matters and being incredulous about the magnitude does not make it not so.
https://twitter.com/epi_dude/s...

1. In our new (not yet peer reviewed) pre-print on NYC's BA.2/BA.2.12.1 surge, in a population-representative sample, we estimated SARS-CoV-2 prevalence to be 22.1% during April 23-May 8 (about 1.8M adults). About 31 times the official case count. https://www.medrxiv.org/conten...

发表时间:4年前 作者:Denis Nash @epi_dude

@_DavidGlassman@denise\u dewald@Bob\u Wachter在这项研究中进行了31次调查,这实际上只是一次民意调查,很可能很弱,但同样重要的不是确切的数字,对其大小的怀疑也不会使其如此。
https://twitter.com/epi_dude/s...

1、在我们新的(尚未同行评审)预印的纽约市BA中。2个/年。2.12.1激增,在一个具有人口代表性的样本中,我们估计4月23日至5月8日期间SARS-CoV-2的流行率为22.1%(约180万成年人)。大约是官方统计的31倍。https://www.medrxiv.org/conten...

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@denise_dewald @Bob_Wachter His own posts about asymptomatic patient positive rate show this quite clearly. Yet he ignores it.

@denise\u dewald@Bob\u Wachter他自己关于无症状患者阳性率的帖子非常清楚地表明了这一点。然而,他忽视了这一点。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@brendonowicz @MomtoRox Upper room UVC is potentially a game changer. High proven efficacy with airborne pathogens. Yet it just sits there, unused.

@brendonowicz@MomtoRox Upper room UVC可能会改变游戏规则。经证明对空气传播病原体有很高的疗效。但它只是坐在那里,没有使用。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@TylerMcDowall @eshear @antoniogm If you look closely some of those precincts have single digit votes.

@TylerMcDowall@eshear@antoniogm如果你仔细看看,其中一些选区有个位数的选票。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@jameshrh @antoniogm It's mostly true even of red states. Just that the balance is shifted the other way.

@jameshrh@antoniogm即使是在红州也是如此。只是平衡被转移到了另一个方向。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@nailatrahman @yaneerbaryam Well, not the quality masks, still mostly just shitty ones. So not quite the same experiment.

@nailatrahman@yaneerbaryam嗯,不是质量好的面具,大部分还是劣质的面具。所以不是完全相同的实验。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@nailatrahman @yaneerbaryam China is doing that, plus strict isolation of positive cases and travel controls. So we'll somewhat see this experiment played out. Failure in China suggests it won't work. Success in China indeterminate whether it would work w/o the strict isolation and travel controls.

@yaneerbaryam China的nailatrahman正在这样做,并严格隔离阳性病例和旅行控制。所以我们会看到这个实验的结果。在中国的失败表明它行不通。在中国的成功还不确定在没有严格隔离和旅行控制的情况下是否有效。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@TheBoobla @AndrewWalkom @EIFY @unclejfranklin @yaneerbaryam The economic sacrifice is modest, and not even clearly net neg. Hard lockdown in one city, representing <2% of the population. Many factories stayed open, albeit under difficult conditions (on-site bubble). Meanwhile, US had neg Q1 GDP due to Omicron, lockdown or no lockdown.

@TheBoobla@AndrewWalkom@EIFY@unclejfranklin@yaneerbaryam经济损失不大,甚至没有明显的净负增长。在一个城市实施强制封锁,代表<;2%的人口。尽管条件艰难(现场泡沫),但许多工厂仍然营业。同时,由于Omicron、锁定或未锁定,美国第一季度GDP为负值。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@LarryTenney $239k in California gets you what? Regional manager of a chain of muffler shops?
This is part of the problem. Political demagoguery about "high" salaries means you get either the bottom of the barrel or the corrupt, or both.

@LarryTenney在加利福尼亚的23.9万美元给了你什么?消声器连锁店的区域经理?
这是问题的一部分。关于“高薪”的政治煽动意味着你要么得到了底线,要么得到了腐败,要么两者兼而有之。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wabbit011235813 @wsbgnl @sleepyknave In any administration there is a balance between the political and the effective executive administration of government. With this one the balance is utterly skewed.

@wabbit011235813@wsbgnl@sleepyknave在任何政府中,政府的政治管理和有效的行政管理之间都是平衡的。有了这一点,平衡就完全不平衡了。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wabbit011235813 @wsbgnl @sleepyknave It's the staffing, BTW. He has never brought in actual effective leaders or experts. They're all political hacks. All they can do or even try to do is selling a political agenda.

@wabbit011235813@wsbgnl@sleepyknave这是人员配置,顺便说一句,他从来没有带来过真正有效的领导者或专家。他们都是政治黑客。他们所能做甚至试图做的就是兜售政治议程。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wabbit011235813 @wsbgnl @sleepyknave I noticed.

@我注意到wabbit011235813@wsbgnl@sleepyknave。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@GHCuthbertson @JonathonMomsen @ChocoMeditator @yaneerbaryam I think they have. Quarantining whole buildings (knowing that ventilation is shit), etc. White suits mostly wear proper respirators, etc. They just haven't decided that direct focus on mitigation of airborne is best, or perhaps not feasible.

@GHCuthbertson@JonathonMomsen@ChocoMeditator@yaneerbaryam我想他们有。隔离整个建筑(知道通风是狗屎)等。白色西装大多佩戴合适的呼吸器等。他们只是没有决定直接关注空气传播的缓解是最好的,或者可能不可行。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@AmberFreeman21 @ChocoMeditator @yaneerbaryam Even not during surges, there are backlogs that impair access.

@AmberFreeman21@ChocoMeditator@yaneerbaryam即使在浪涌期间,也会有积压,影响访问。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wsbgnl @sleepyknave It's also the same plan of taking what is basically a shit outcome and selling it as stellar.

@wsbgnl@sleepyknave这也是同样的计划,即把基本上是狗屎的结果作为明星来出售。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@olga_basso @MeetJess @RomainMartinIO BTW nicely done, as expected
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@LazarusLong13 There is no way that account can have <900 followers. Something is wrong with the universe.

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin

@olga\u basso@MeetJess@RomainMartinIO顺便说一句,做得很好,正如预期的那样
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@LazarusLong13账户不可能拥有<;900名追随者。宇宙出了问题。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@IDukeofSwabiaI @RatUtopian It's fake but the fact that you can't tell says something about the world. Who then hell knows what's happening behind the closed doors of some lab.

@IDukeofSwabiaI@RatUtopian这是假的,但你说不出来的事实说明了世界的一些东西。那么谁知道在某个实验室关闭的门后发生了什么。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情