用户 aeon(@ AeonCoin) 的最新消息

@seanchandra @DailyJLee @JamesSurowiecki vaxed unvaxed %vaxed by month
2021-02 3 1342 0%
2021-03 11 1140 0%
2021-04 15 554 2%
2021-05 36 449 7%
2021-06 26 253 9%
2021-07 91 538 14%
2021-08 421 2374 15%
2021-09 537 2932 15%
2021-10 391 1822 17%
2021-11 402 1513 20%
2021-12 324 1338 19%
2022-01* 653 1681 27%
*incomplete

@seanchandra@DailyJLee@JamesSurowiecki VAX未征税%VAX按月征税
2021-02 3 1342 0%
2021-03 11 1140 0%
2021-04 15 554 2%
2021-05 36 449 7%
2021-06 26 253 9%
2021-07 91 538 14%
2021-08 421 2374 15%
2021-09 537 2932 15%
2021-10 391 1822 17%
2021-11 402 1513 20%
2021-12 324 1338 19%
2022-01* 653 1681 27%
*残缺的

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@betainverse @hippopedoid The 7 day sums erase weekly periodicity completely and can be used with the same test. If samples are independent, sum of variance = variance of sum.

@betainverse@hippedoid 7天的总和完全消除每周的周期性,可以用于相同的测试。如果样本是独立的,方差之和=方差之和。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@ZoloftandChill @mehdirhasan @mommywhitfield It's not even remotely crazy, it's pandering to a certain group of voters.

@ZoloftandChill@mehdirhasan@mommywhitfield这一点都不疯狂,它是在迎合特定的选民群体。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@DJeckylMHyde @MehdiHasanShow @MSNBC @mehdirhasan Mandates themselves aren't even a scientific question, they are policy.

@Djeckylmyde@MehdiHasanShow@MSNBC@mehdirhasan命令本身甚至不是一个科学问题,而是政策。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@DJeckylMHyde @MehdiHasanShow @MSNBC @mehdirhasan Lying about public opinion isn't a scientific question.

@杰克海德@MehdiHasanShow@MSNBC@mehdirhasan对公众舆论撒谎不是一个科学问题。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@DJeckylMHyde @MehdiHasanShow @MSNBC @mehdirhasan It's not.
What does that have to do with lying about public opinion?

@Djeckylmyde@MehdiHasanShow@MSNBC@mehdirhasan不是。
这与对公众舆论撒谎有什么关系?

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@kprather88 .@michaelmina_lab reported using CR box and not having spread.

@kprather88@michaelmina_实验室报告使用CR盒,但没有扩散。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein @HalCranmer I'd be all in favor of less political interference, but the reality is both that it happens all sorts of ways, and it doesn't mean that everything CDC says is wrong, and even if you totally disrespect CDC (as I mostly do), you can find similar info from all around the world.

@拜登斯·迪珀@J_D_Klein@HalCranmer我完全赞成减少政治干预,但现实是,这种情况以各种方式发生,这并不意味着疾病控制中心所说的一切都是错误的,即使你完全不尊重疾病控制中心(就像我通常做的那样),你也可以从世界各地找到类似的信息。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein @HalCranmer Under previous administration, numerous actions at the behest of Republicans, including weakening guidance for meat packing, and striking guidance against singing in churches, despite ample evidence for both being high risk.

@拜登斯·迪珀@J_D_Klein@HalCranmer在前一届政府中,在共和党人的要求下采取了许多行动,包括削弱对肉类包装的指导,以及反对在教堂唱歌的罢工指导,尽管有充分证据表明这两种做法都是高风险的。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein @HalCranmer And CDC is NOT always on the side of Democrats. In spring of 2021, CDC said vaccinated could take off masks (assuming good faith, based on data at the time), and many, probable most, Democrats were skeptical.

@拜登斯·迪珀@J_D_Klein@Halcramer和疾控中心并不总是站在民主党一边。在2021春季,疾病预防控制中心说疫苗接种可以摘下面具(假设当时是基于诚实的数据),许多可能的民主党人对此持怀疑态度。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein @HalCranmer Steak and eggs are not contagious. Different things are actually different.

@bidens_尿布@J_D_Klein@HalCranmer牛排和鸡蛋不会传染。不同的事情其实是不同的。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein @HalCranmer You collect data from numerous settings, and a scientific consensus emerges, as it has in this case, with a few contrarian outliers always trying to make a name for themselves on the basis of claiming the opposite. Nothing new.

@bidens_dipper@J_D_Klein@HalCranmer你从许多环境中收集数据,一个科学共识出现了,就像在这个案例中一样,一些逆向的异常者总是试图在声称相反的基础上为自己取个名。没什么新鲜事。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein @HalCranmer The real world is always going to be messy. That's true whether you are studying masks in schools or fish population in a lake. No one would claim these or any studies are without 'flaws'.

@拜登尿布@J_D_Klein@HalCranmer现实世界总是一团糟。无论你是在学校研究面具,还是在湖中研究鱼类种群,都是如此。没有人会声称这些或任何研究都没有“缺陷”。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@HalCranmer @shanana1982 @bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein This thread explains why Miller's approach is completely unscientific, worthless, and wrong. Putting it all in a book doesn't make it any less so.
https://twitter.com/zorinaq/st...

A little thread on the Great Disinformer @ianmSC
Why Real Science™ isn't done with MSPaint charts.
His charts seem to claim that nothing works. Locking down doesn't work, masking doesn't work, vaccination doesn't work, your printer doesn't wo—wait scratch that one
1/n

发表时间:4年前 作者:Marc Bevand @zorinaq

@HalCranmer@shannana1982@bidens_dipper@J_D_Klein这条线索解释了为什么米勒的方法是完全不科学、毫无价值和错误的。把这些都写进一本书并不会让它变得更糟。
https://twitter.com/zorinaq/st...

一条关于伟大的反分裂者@ianmSC的线索
为什么是真正的科学™ 还没有完成MSPaint图表。
他的图表似乎声称什么都不管用。锁定不起作用,掩蔽不起作用,疫苗接种不起作用,你的打印机等不及了
1/n

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@seanchandra @DailyJLee @JamesSurowiecki Dataset ends Jan 23, I guess more recent data isn't reported yet. I have no idea if the existing data is considered complete or not.

@seanchandra@DailyJLee@JamesSurowiecki数据集将于1月23日结束,我想更多的最新数据尚未报告。我不知道现有数据是否完整。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@seanchandra @DailyJLee @JamesSurowiecki Thank you. If you dig into the source data behind a few clicks you can see that there were 653 vaccinated deaths Jan 1 to 23 and 1681 unvaccinated deaths.

@seanchandra@DailyJLee@JamesSurowiecki谢谢。如果你在点击几下后挖掘原始数据,你会发现1月1日至23日有653例接种疫苗死亡,1681例未接种疫苗死亡。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@shanana1982 @bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein @HalCranmer This isn't one study it is three.
Shredded by "scientists" = a politically motivated contrarians. Always going to be that.
Pick your battles better. This isn't the one.

@Shannana1982@bidens_尿布@J_D_Klein@HalCranmer这不是一项研究,而是三项。
被“科学家”撕碎=有政治动机的叛逆者。永远都是这样。
选择更好的战斗。不是这个。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wsbgnl @IHME_UW When you "run out of people to infect", you don't see numbers coming down, you see them at zero.

@wsbgnl@IHME_UW当你“没有人感染”时,你不会看到数字下降,你会看到数字为零。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein @HalCranmer CDC cites three studies for masks working in schools. You may not agree with this evidence, or disagree it is representative, but that is far different from saying "no evidence whatsover", which simply isn't the case.
https://www.cdc.gov/media/rele...

@bidens_Dipper@J_D_Klein@HalCranmer疾病预防控制中心引用了三项关于在学校工作的口罩的研究。你可能不同意这个证据,或者不同意它是有代表性的,但这与说“没有证据”是完全不同的,事实并非如此。
https://www.cdc.gov/media/rele...

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@bidens_diaper @J_D_Klein @HalCranmer I can't tell you why policy makers decide where and when to mandate but I would suggest that many of these differentiated decision are not because "mask work" or "masks don't work" (in reality, neither absolute statement is true, they are effective to a degree).

@拜登斯·迪珀@J_D_Klein@HalCranmer我不能告诉你为什么决策者决定何时何地授权,但我想指出的是,这些有区别的决定中有很多并不是因为“面具起作用”或“面具不起作用”(实际上,两种绝对说法都不是真的,它们在一定程度上是有效的)。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情