@wsbgnl @wanderer_jasnah @georgimarinov @OJJohnson81 @OmicronData @zeynep @kallmemeg @jbakcoleman @jfeldman_epi @GYamey @statsepi Exactly, and like I said, infections, at least if significantly symptomatic, and many are, have their own direct and immediate cost in human suffering and economic losses both for the individuals and for society.

@wsbgnl@Wanderr\u jasnah@georgimarinov@OJJohnson81@OmicronData@zeynep@Kallmeg@jbakcoleman@jfeldman\u epi@GYamey@statsepi正如我所说，感染，至少是有明显症状的，而且很多是，对个人和社会而言，都会给人类带来直接和直接的痛苦和经济损失。

@wsbgnl @wanderer_jasnah @georgimarinov @OJJohnson81 @OmicronData @zeynep @kallmemeg @jbakcoleman @jfeldman_epi @GYamey @statsepi But beyond that, IFR being a relatively low ratio due to a high number of infection is likely WORSE, since there are undesirable non-fatal outcome (including even things like lost work).

@wsbgnl@Wanderr\u jasnah@georgimarinov@OJJohnson81@OmicronData@zeynep@Kallmeg@jbakcoleman@jfeldman\u epi@GYamey@statsepi但除此之外，由于感染人数较多，IFR的比例相对较低可能更糟，因为存在不希望的非致命后果（甚至包括失去工作之类的事情）。

@wsbgnl @wanderer_jasnah @georgimarinov @OJJohnson81 @OmicronData @zeynep @kallmemeg @jbakcoleman @jfeldman_epi @GYamey @statsepi This was in effect a way to downplay and declare victory. DeSantis did the same thing in 2020 before any sort of vaccines with his "99.9% survival rate" poster. Just as evil even if the people doing it now can pretend they're not evil because they weren't acting as evil in 2020.

@wsbgnl@Wanderr\u jasnah@georgimarinov@OJJohnson81@OmicronData@zeynep@Kallmeg@jbakcoleman@jfeldman\u epi@GYamey@statsepi这实际上是一种淡化和宣布胜利的方式。德桑蒂斯在2020年用他的“99.9%存活率”海报做了同样的事情，在任何一种疫苗之前。同样邪恶的是，即使现在这样做的人可以假装他们不是邪恶的，因为他们在2020年的行为不是邪恶的。

@wanderer_jasnah @georgimarinov @OJJohnson81 @OmicronData @zeynep @kallmemeg @wsbgnl @jbakcoleman @jfeldman_epi @GYamey @statsepi This is yet more goalpost moving. Yes severe is a sequence of infected at all and progression from infected to severe, but that doesn't actually matter to protection. However the path to severe is stopped, it is stopped. If it isn't stopped, you have more severity.

@流浪者jasnah@georgimarinov@OJJohnson81@OmicronData@zeynep@kallmemeg@wsbgl@jbakcoleman@jfeldman\u epi@GYamey@statsepi这是更多的进球。是的，严重的是一系列感染和从感染到严重的进展，但这实际上与保护无关。然而，严重的路径停止了，它也停止了。如果不停止，你的病情会更严重。

@wanderer_jasnah @georgimarinov @OJJohnson81 @OmicronData @zeynep @kallmemeg @wsbgnl @jbakcoleman @jfeldman_epi @GYamey @statsepi False, this is more goalpost moving. 90% sounds "great" but is still much worse than pre-Omicron, and is also completely insufficient to return to pre-pandemic life. 90% in vulnerable groups is still 2-3x more severe than seasonal flu (already serious) AND much more contagious.

@流浪者jasnah@georgimarinov@OJJohnson81@OmicronData@zeynep@kallmeg@wsbgl@jbakcoleman@jfeldman\u epi@GYamey@statsepi False，这更像是进球后的移动。90%听起来“很棒”，但仍然比奥米克罗之前的情况差得多，也完全不足以恢复大流行前的生活。90%的弱势群体仍然比季节性流感（已经很严重）严重2-3倍，传染性更强。

@wanderer_jasnah @georgimarinov @OJJohnson81 @OmicronData @zeynep @kallmemeg @wsbgnl @jbakcoleman @jfeldman_epi @GYamey @statsepi VE_severe isn't that robust. It declined a lot with Omicron which then got downplayed by moving the goalpost to VE_severe|boosted

@流浪者jasnah@georgimarinov@OJJohnson81@OmicronData@zeynep@kallmeg@wsbgl@jbakcoleman@jfeldman\u epi@GYamey@statsepi VE\u severe没有那么健壮。奥米克龙的进球率下降了很多，随后他将球门柱移到了维尤的位置，从而被低估了

@_scott_oneil @IDoTheThinking What I don't believe is that this ad is likely to move the needle whatsoever on him winning in Florida nor meaningfully hurt DeSantis. Fund raising makes the most sense, since dollars are fungible across states.

@_斯科特·奥尼尔（scott_oneil@Idothething）认为，我不相信的是，这则广告可能会让他在佛罗里达州获胜，也不会对德桑蒂斯造成重大伤害。资金筹集是最有意义的，因为美元可以在各州之间互换。

@_scott_oneil @IDoTheThinking He's absolutely diverting Florida dollars to California (to his campaign fund, the add says so I think), although he is also pursing presidential ambitions at some point, so the funds could be used for that, or I believe redonated to other Democrats making him a king-maker.

@_斯科特·奥尼尔（scott_oneil@Idothethink）认为他绝对是在把佛罗里达州的资金转移到加利福尼亚州（他的竞选基金，add说，我认为是这样），尽管他在某个时候也在追求总统的抱负，所以这些资金可以用于此，或者我认为这对其他民主党人来说是一种回报，使他成为造王者。

@__philipn__ @erlichya @EadoMeron You're of course correct but in some sense this might be the hardest to pull off because it would require so many policymakers and opinion shapers to do an about face.
It "might" be more productive to focus on effective measures w/o requiring prominent people to admit error.

@__philipn_uuu@erlichya@EadoMeron你当然是对的，但在某种意义上，这可能是最难实现的，因为这需要如此多的决策者和舆论塑造者做出改变。
专注于有效的措施而不要求杰出人士承认错误，“可能”会更有成效。

@_scott_oneil @IDoTheThinking I think it may be intended mostly to raise money from pissed off Florida Dems. I'm not really sure why it would work for any of that, but I guess his people think so.

@_斯科特·奥尼尔（scott_oneil@IDoTheThinking）我认为这可能主要是为了从愤怒的佛罗里达民主党人那里筹集资金。我真的不知道为什么这对任何人都有效，但我想他的人也这么认为。

@notdred Right, whatever animals have been tested.

@不对，不管是什么动物都经过了测试。

@IDoTheThinking If it is a presidential ad, why Florida rather than a true swing state?

@我在想，如果这是一个总统广告，为什么佛罗里达州，而不是一个真正的摇摆州？

@notdred Does it reduce transmission at all?

@它会减少传输吗？

@FinchTH @ninjagirlphd GM needs more followers

@FinchTH@ninjagirlphd GM需要更多追随者

@wsbgnl @zeynep @jbakcoleman @jfeldman_epi @GYamey @statsepi In point of fact it wasn't, and still isn't, clearly and with certainty low risk to anyone. It was low risk of acute severity to many individuals, but long term effects have always been and remain poorly understood.

@wsbgnl@zeynep@jbakcoleman@jfeldman_epi@GYamey@statsepi事实上，它过去不是，现在仍然不是，对任何人来说都是低风险的。对许多人来说，急性严重性的风险很低，但长期影响一直并没有得到很好的理解。

@jfeldman_epi How's that working out?
https://www.bloomberg.com/opin...

@jfeldman_epi怎么样？
https://www.bloomberg.com/opin...

@emilymbender @hypervisible Headlines have one job, to generate clicks, and you can't fix this by helping them generate even more clicks.

@EmilyBender@Hypersible头条有一个任务，就是生成点击，而你无法通过帮助他们生成更多点击来解决这个问题。

@oopsallbased @WinsomePines @luckytran All of this started before oil prices were particularly high and "supply chain" and "global inflation" are to a large extent driven by labor market disruption i.e. covid. Oil prices/Ukraine threw gasoline on the fire to use an apt analogy, but are not the underlying cause.

@oopsallbased@WinsomePines@luckytran所有这些都是在油价特别高之前开始的，“供应链”和“全球通胀”在很大程度上是由劳动力市场中断（即新冠肺炎）驱动的。用一个恰当的比喻来说，油价/乌克兰将汽油付之一炬，但这不是根本原因。

@Tenners101 @luckytran It's not one or the other in any way whatsoever.

@Tenners101@luckytran无论如何都不是一个或另一个。

@xPiya @luckytran That one day is an anomaly for various reasons, including that July 4, 2019 was a Wednesday, so no holiday weekend that year. Average daily still significantly lower.

@xPiya@luckytran表示，由于各种原因，有一天是不正常的，包括2019年7月4日是星期三，所以那年没有假日周末。每天的平均值仍然明显较低。