用户 aeon(@ AeonCoin) 的最新消息

@biancoresearch @DoombergT Real rates are deeply negative.

@biancoresearch@DoombergT实际利率为负。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@Colormeblue70 @JReinerMD @PeterHotez It's soothing orange for highest level of hopium.

@Colormeblue70@JReinerMD@PeterHotez这是一种舒缓的橙色,能提供最高水平的啤酒花。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@NKinNewEng @apoorva_nyc 2019:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... https://t.co/7Jo16ByXbq

@NKinNewEng@apoorva_nyc 2019年:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...对不起,对不起。https://t.co/7Jo16ByXbq

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@dumbassgenius By now anyone who doesn't get payment from him in advance deserves it

@蠢货,到现在为止,任何没有提前从他那里得到付款的人都应该得到这笔钱

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wsbgnl You're not supposed to calculate the incalculable.

@wsbgnl你不应该计算不可计算的。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@ParkeBench @BillHanage In practice, there are some very high follower accounts who block everyone, including highly credible experts, who ever disagrees with them. What you see may appear to be an open debate but is actually a false consensus that gives garbage more weight than it deserves.

@ParkeBench@BillHanage在实践中,有一些非常高的关注者帐户阻止了所有人,包括高度可信的专家,他们曾经不同意他们。你们看到的可能看起来是一场公开辩论,但实际上是一个错误的共识,给垃圾带来了超出其应有的权重。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@ParkeBench @BillHanage Maybe it's graffiti, maybe it's actually a useful correction to misinformation being pushed out by the original tweet. It's hard to generalize without context.

@ParkeBench@BillHanage也许是涂鸦,也许它实际上是一个有用的纠正错误信息被推出来的原始推特。没有语境很难概括。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@BillHanage @factsarefact12 All true but also hard and maybe impossible to usefully estimate as long as poorly understood.

@BillHanage@factsarefact12都是真的,但也很难,而且可能不可能有效地估计,只要了解得很少。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@BoobyJargon @factsarefact12 @BillHanage It's not an assumption at all. Reread it.

@BoobyJargon@factsarefact12@BillHanage这根本不是一个假设。重读一遍。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@BillHanage But I'll never cry about being blocked, it's the nature of the platform. The platform is hardly ideal though (in many ways)

@BillHanage但我永远不会为被屏蔽而哭泣,这是平台的本质。但这个平台并不理想(在许多方面)

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@BillHanage I don't really see blocking as a matter of shouting in someone's ear (muting is closer).
Blocking lets people shut out criticism or opposing views (though certainly not everyone uses blocking that way), WITHOUT the same visibility as closed threads, so in some ways problematic.

@比尔·哈纳奇(BillHanage)我真的不认为阻拦是在别人耳边大喊大叫(静音更接近)。
阻塞可以让人们将批评或反对的观点拒之门外(当然不是每个人都这样使用阻塞),没有与封闭线程相同的可见性,因此在某些方面存在问题。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@BillHanage I'm replying to this
"Possible and probable are not the same thing and it is important to remember that, especially when thinking about risk"
My comment is the non possible is one bin. Probable is another bin, but not useful w/o regard to consequence.

@BillHanage我正在回复
“可能和可能不是一回事,尤其是在考虑风险时,要记住这一点。”
我的评论是不可能是一箱。可能是另一个箱子,但不考虑后果。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@BillHanage I'm actually not. Whatever other context there seems to be here, I didn't see it. I'm probably missing something.

@比尔·哈纳奇我其实不是。不管这里有什么其他背景,我都没有看到。我可能错过了什么。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@factsarefact12 @BillHanage However, the 25 year old has many more decades to potentially face long term consequences. I don't think it is clear which risk is "worse".

@事实真相12@BillHanage然而,这位25岁的年轻人还有几十年的时间可能面临长期后果。我不认为哪个风险“更糟”。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@BillHanage Probably not give lack of clarity, but definitely reference to probability without regard to magnitude of consequence is not particularly useful.

@BillHanage可能并不缺乏明确性,但明确提及概率而不考虑后果的大小并不是特别有用。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@BillHanage And, on a related note, not probable does not mean safe.

@BillHanage和,在一个相关的注释中,不可能并不意味着安全。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@Zoomba20222 @CaitHatesCovid @DFisman True to a point. They change slowly, and the system is mostly sized accordingly. In fact if you magically made those go away, it would create other problems, due to loss of revenue and overcapacity.

@Zoomba20222@CaitateScovid@DFisman切中要害。它们变化很慢,系统的大小也基本相同。事实上,如果你神奇地消除了这些问题,那么由于收入损失和产能过剩,它将产生其他问题。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@Zoomba20222 @CaitHatesCovid @DFisman Those are all individual risks, not instances where people (including business activities and facilities) extend risks to others. Regulation of the latter is routine, the former much less so.

@Zoomba20222@caitatescovid@DFisman这些都是个人风险,而不是人们(包括商业活动和设施)将风险扩大到其他人的情况。后者的监管是例行公事,前者则少得多。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@CaitHatesCovid @DFisman Health and safety regulations are pervasive. We don't stop water treatment, restaurant inspections, kitchen workers wearing a hat or hair net/tie (but masks, zOMG that would be TERRIBLE!), road safety, etc. When health and safety risks persist, we continue effort to reduce.

@CaitateScovid@DFisman健康和安全法规无处不在。我们不会停止水处理、餐馆检查、厨房工作人员戴帽子或发网/领带(但戴口罩、打麻袋那太可怕了!),道路安全等。当健康和安全风险持续存在时,我们将继续努力减少。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@imnotacatx @VoteoutTrudeau @DFisman It implemented both restrictions and life-changing recommendation from March 2020, just a little less than others. If you want actual less restrictions look to New Zealand which had more up front allowing far less over the duration. https://t.co/29BFYzPpP1

@imnotacatx@VoteoutTrudeau@DFisman自2020年3月起,它实施了限制和改变生活的建议,仅略低于其他建议。如果你想要实际更少的限制,看看新西兰,它有更多的前期允许在更长的时间内。https://t.co/29BFYzPpP1

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情