@GidMK @TRyanGregory @YouAreLobbyLud Okay I just looked this up. The IFR for the original virus with no immunity at age 30 is about 1/5000. With vaccination it should be much lower. I don't find a few deaths out of 20k cases implausible, but looking at case ages if reported would improve the analysis.
@GidMK @TRyanGregory @YouAreLobbyLud 好的，我刚刚查了一下。 30岁没有免疫力的原始病毒的IFR约为1/5000。接种疫苗后应该会低很多。我发现 20k 病例中没有几例死亡令人难以置信，但如果报告病例年龄，则可以改进分析。