Aeon 的最新消息

@genuine_doubt @hyperplanes @TuningComplete This thread is utterly ridiculous, don't even bother, but yes there are of course delivery systems besides ICBMs.

@真正的_怀疑@hyperplanes@TuningComplete这条线索完全是荒谬的,甚至不用麻烦,但是的,除了洲际弹道导弹之外,当然还有运载系统。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@SarahRetroNrd @InquisitiveUrsa @hyperplanes @dataandpolitics Not necessarily rare. Regional conflicts could go nuclear and not be Global Thermonuclear War, at least not initially (if at all).

@SarahRetroNrd@InquisitiveUrsa@hyperplanes@dataandpolitics并不一定罕见。地区冲突可能会演变成核战争,而不是全球热核战争,至少最初不会(如果有的话)。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wsbgnl Can't imagine where all those kids got infected. 🤔

@wsbgnl无法想象这些孩子是在哪里感染的。🤔

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@andrew_lilico There is no magic nuke disabling field.
It's just 80 years of precedent that supplying arms and proxy wars aren't cause for pressing the button. If Putin is that deranged to nuke over that, he's going to find a reason sooner or later regardless.

@andrew_lilico没有魔法核弹场。
提供武器和代理战争不是按下按钮的理由,这只是80年的先例。如果普京为此疯狂地使用核武器,他迟早会找到理由的。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@zorinaq Well, they probably do. There's some decay in the autocorrelation but likely pretty slow.

@zorinaq他们可能会的。自相关性有一些衰减,但可能很慢。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@reneecomunique @Winchestermom @IAPonomarenko These are drones

@reneecomunique@Winchestermom@IAPonomarenko这些是无人机

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@Karan1886 @spectatorindex How is the weather in St Petersburg these days?

@Karan1886@considerindex最近圣彼得堡的天气怎么样?

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@__philipn__ @amandalhu It pretty much did (in places heavily impacted before shutdowns, like NYC), you were just a bit early for that. Omicron also took from November to January to peak. Even with very fast growth getting from a few cases to millions takes time.

@__philipn__@amandalhu确实如此(在关闭前受到严重影响的地方,比如纽约),你只是来得有点早。Omicron也在11月至1月达到峰值。即使增长非常快,从少数病例到数百万病例也需要时间。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@RedCamerlengo @TosaTool There is so much disinformation and propaganda, people get confused.

@RedCamerlengo@TosaTool有太多虚假信息和宣传,人们会感到困惑。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@kendrafeliciter @wsbgnl Disabled or not, kids don't consent.

@kendrafeliciter@wsbgnl是否残疾,孩子们不同意。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@ArtThom97619933 @AlastairMcA30 @drlucymcbride @JReinerMD @TracyBethHoeg Her graph is labeled 2020-2022. Maybe they are treating that as three "seasons"?

@ArtThom97619933@AlastairMcA30@drlucymcbride@JReinerMD@tracybethoeg她的图被标记为2020-2022。也许他们把这当作三个“季节”?

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@markgeise @zorinaq Definitely not big but doesn't look like zero to me. I guess we'll wait for the analysis.

@markgeise@zorinaq绝对不算大,但在我看来并不是零。我想我们还是等分析吧。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@markgeise @zorinaq Also, I wouldn't go so far as "meaningless". You were given the entire graph, a rough sense of R^2 is apparent.

@markgeise@zorinaq同样,我不会走到“毫无意义”的地步。如果你看到了整张图,很明显R^2的大致含义。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@markgeise @zorinaq Less rude to just ask the question and find out the reason, and equally effective in pointing out that important information is missing.

@markgeise@zorinaq提问并找出原因就不那么粗鲁了,指出重要信息缺失也同样有效。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@MicahPollak @wsbgnl @theonlycsbv Indeed if left alone, reaching that milestone could have been a cause for celebration and relief, instead of yet another shitstorm and erosion of trust due to CDC moving the goalposts. After reaching low on the old metrics would have been a good tie to revise them for the future.

@MicahPollak@wsbgnl@theonlycsbv的确,如果不去管它,达到这一里程碑可能会是一个值得庆祝和宽慰的原因,而不是CDC移动球门柱造成的又一场混乱和信任的侵蚀。在旧指标达到较低水平后,将有助于在未来对其进行修订。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@DeesBeesFried @zorinaq https://twitter.com/zorinaq/st...

@markgeise I want to know as well... this was a quick & dirty chart using a new stats library. Will calculate R² and publish full source code in the next 24 hours

发表时间:4年前 作者:Marc Bevand @zorinaq

Abigail BradyBastien NoceraGareth OwenDavid Lodgehttps://twitter.com/zorinaq/st...

@markgeise我也想知道。。。这是一个快速&;使用新统计库的脏图表。将在未来24小时内计算R²并发布完整的源代码

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@markgeise @zorinaq Assuming bad faith was inappropriate.

@markgeise@zorinaq认为不诚实是不合适的。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wsbgnl @MicahPollak @ocnj3 @theonlycsbv Also many companies, institutions, and, somewhat, individuals (individuals would likely be even more responsive if CDC gave better advice and cultivated rather than consumed its trust reservoir).

@wsbgnl@MicahPollak@ocnj3@theonlycsbv还包括许多公司、机构,以及一些个人(如果CDC提供更好的建议,培养而不是消耗其信任库,个人可能会更加敏感)。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@dianaberrent War is hell.
No one should be cheering.

@战争是地狱。
没有人应该欢呼。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@GainOfDystopia @MarvinH2_G2 @Gab_H_R They'll get towed off the road and left behind, but it does slow them dow.

@GainOfDystopia@MarvinH2_G2@Gab_H_R他们将被拖离道路并被甩在后面,但这确实会让他们的道琼斯指数放缓。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情