Aeon 的最新消息
@Lionbenny1010 @icatawba @atrupar There is nothing scientific about downplaying and failing to acknowledge and prepare for damaging events, even if uncertain.
Nobody says "don't worry about the hurricane, it might miss" instead of "prepare for the possible hurricane and be happy if it misses".
@Lionbenny1010@icatawba@atrupar轻描淡写、不承认并为破坏性事件做好准备，这是不科学的，即使是不确定的。
没有人会说“别担心飓风，它可能会错过”，而不是“为可能的飓风做好准备，如果错过了就开心”。
@jeromeusa @akajinglesloll @JeromeAdamsMD @SouthwestAir @AmericanAir @Delta @united That's why I'm confident it will fill back up. It's been a rough two years, akin to a recession, though not exactly one. Recovery takes time, but always happens in places likely that. It's not an old mill town or something that takes a generation or two to recover, if ever.
@jeromeusa@Akajingleslol@JeromeAdamsMD@SouthwestAir@AmericanAir@Delta@united这就是为什么我相信它会填补空缺。这是一个艰难的两年，类似于经济衰退，尽管不完全是一年。恢复需要时间，但总是发生在可能的地方。这不是一个老磨坊镇，也不是需要一两代人才能恢复的地方。
@Taddy20597793 @peterra40855142 @Aintropy @sethharpesq @tparsi What difference do you think it makes? If killed they'll be reported killed in a training accident or on some made up mission in Africa.
@Taddy2059793@peterra40855142@Aintropy@sethharpesq@tparsi你认为这有什么区别？如果被杀，他们将被报告死于训练事故或在非洲执行虚构任务。
@jeromeusa @akajinglesloll @JeromeAdamsMD @SouthwestAir @AmericanAir @Delta @united All sorts of reasons for that, seasonal perhaps a part. Many retail areas empty out somewhat in Q1-Q2 then fill up in Q3-Q4.
@jeromeusa@akajinglesloll@JeromeAdamsMD@SouthwestAir@AmericanAir@Delta@united有各种各样的原因，季节性可能是其中的一部分。许多零售区在第一季度至第二季度有所清空，然后在第三季度至第四季度填满。
@jeromeusa @akajinglesloll @JeromeAdamsMD @SouthwestAir @AmericanAir @Delta @united Well, by "back" I mean restaurants and retailers in Santa Monica. Not the same ones, but that's normal. Churn is normal. It's part of how the industry is built.
@jeromeusa@Akajingleslol@JeromeAdamsMD@SouthwestAir@AmericanAir@Delta@united Well，这里的“back”指的是圣莫尼卡的餐厅和零售商。不一样，但这很正常。搅动是正常的。这是该行业建设的一部分。
@jeromeusa @akajinglesloll @JeromeAdamsMD @SouthwestAir @AmericanAir @Delta @united Also important to consider that with people moving, ongoing work from home, etc., some of the changes will be permanent, or at least persistent. The restaurants that will open to replace won't be the same restaurants in the same places as the ones that closed.
@ Jealuasa@ AkajysLLLL @ JealMaDaMsLD @ SouthWestAIR @ AsiaAnAIR @ Delta @联合也是重要的考虑，随着人们的移动，正在进行的工作从家里等，一些变化将是永久的，或至少是持久的。将要开放的餐厅将不再是那些关闭的餐厅，而是那些位于同一地点的餐厅。
@akajinglesloll @jeromeusa @JeromeAdamsMD @SouthwestAir @AmericanAir @Delta @united That was always my argument about "rescuing" the restaurant industry from covid. Restaurants have about the highest churn of any business. About 20% fail per year on average. It's probably the industry least in need of rescue systemically (individuals impact different story ofc).
@Akajingleslol@jeromeusa@JeromeAdamsMD@SouthwestAir@AmericanAir@Delta@united这一直是我关于从新冠疫情中“拯救”餐饮业的论点。在所有的生意中，餐馆的顾客流失率最高。平均每年约有20%的人失败。它可能是最不需要系统性救援的行业（个人对ofc的影响不同）。
@icatawba @atrupar There is a lot of practice in spinning.
"Based on the data we had at the time…"
"We're still learning that this virus is unpredictable…"
"If we knew then what we know now…"
Etc.
@Itatawba@atrupar纺纱有很多练习。
“根据我们当时的数据……”
“我们仍在了解这种病毒是不可预测的……”
“如果我们当时知道我们现在知道的……”
等
@MarvinH2_G2 @alexmeshkin As usual, there's a "could" on both sides of the equation, so "could" and the existence of some possible path of escalation isn't enough. Failing to act now "could" lead to some different and more dangerous escalation later.
@MarvinH2_G2@alexmeshkin和往常一样，等式的两边都有一个“可能”，所以“可能”和一些可能的升级路径的存在是不够的。如果现在不采取行动，“可能”会导致以后出现一些不同的、更危险的升级。
@jeromeusa @akajinglesloll @JeromeAdamsMD @SouthwestAir @AmericanAir @Delta @united Obviously lease terms are a factor but big department stores go through downsizing phases all the time. They pick stores to close based largely on revenue performance and trends, not exclusively lease terms.
@jeromeusa@Akajingleslol@JeromeAdamsMD@SouthwestAir@AmericanAir@Delta@united显然租赁条款是一个因素，但大型百货公司一直在经历裁员阶段。他们选择关闭门店的主要依据是收入表现和趋势，而不仅仅是租赁条款。