Aeon 的最新消息

@kevinscottnow @Yascha_Mounk (1) Reread your constitution please.

@kevinscottnow@Yascha_Mounk(1)请重读你的宪法。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@Dank_H2O @macroliter I've never understood why SA is every used as a model for western high income countries with average age of around 40 and at least 2-3x as many elderly.

@我一直不明白为什么SA都被用作平均年龄在40岁左右的西方高收入国家和至少2-3倍的老年人的榜样。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wsbgnl The current daily rate (near low for 2022) is around 120k per year, still much too high. Numerically, most are probably vaccinated or previously recovered or both, because there just aren't that many left who aren't.

@wsbgnl目前的日利率(2022年接近低点)约为每年12万,仍然过高。从数字上看,大多数人可能已经接种疫苗,或者之前已经康复,或者两者兼而有之,因为没有多少人没有接种疫苗。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@thumbhatguy @NKinNewEng @macroliter You could say the same about drunk driving, but society has learned not to accept that (in the past, unfortunately, it did, resulting in great suffering).
Your risk evaluation and perspective stops being a personal matter when it increases risk for other people.

@你可以对酒后驾车说同样的话,但社会已经学会了不接受这一点(不幸的是,过去确实如此,导致了巨大的痛苦)。
当你的风险评估和观点增加了其他人的风险时,它就不再是个人问题。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@VGrubsky @MichaelSFuhrer It depends what you mean by fail. There are small single digit community cases still being found (down from 10ks). The hope in both Shanghai and other cities is that regular mass testing can substitute for long painful lockdowns, but that's not exactly proven so far.

@VGrubsky@MichaelSFuhrer这取决于你所说的失败是什么意思。仍在发现小的单位数社区病例(低于10公里)。上海和其他城市的希望是,定期的大规模检测可以取代长期痛苦的封锁,但目前还没有确切的证明。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@Melinda05548325 @MeetJess @PerpetualWinger They don't declare "pandemics" but they decided AGAINST declaring an international health emergency.

@Melinda05548325@MeetJess@performalwinger他们没有宣布“流行病”,但他们决定不宣布国际卫生紧急状态。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@RNR_0 With leverage can be more.

@具有杠杆作用的RNR\u 0可以更大。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@DavidBCollum *individual right, to be more precise

@大卫·巴勒姆*更准确地说,是个人权利

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@DavidBCollum They took it away as a RIGHT, and made it a legislative prerogative.

@大卫·巴勒姆(DavidCollum)他们将其作为一项权利剥夺,并将其作为一项立法特权。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@TheMemeticist Nothing to worry about. It only infects people there because they sleep in the afternoon

@没有什么好担心的。它只会感染那里的人,因为他们在下午睡觉

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@tobermatt @wsbgnl @jwz They could charge the mask manufacturer for product placement too.

@tobermatt@wsbgl@jwz他们也可以就植入式广告向面具制造商收费。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@mlurker444 @FinchTH Because the rest of the world kept shitting covid on them. New Zealand eradicated covid twice, only to be infected yet again by a "living with the virus" region (NSW in that case).

@mlurker444@FinchTH,因为世界其他地方一直在他们身上拉屎。新西兰两次根除了新冠肺炎,结果又一次被“病毒携带者”地区感染(在这种情况下是新南威尔士州)。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@EvaChanda @AmyTanMD @IshatReza It's a combination of airline management scumbags taking bailout money so they wouldn't have to lay off workers, and then laying off workers anyway (and politician scumbags allowing this), covid deaths, long covid, and covid sick leave.

@EvaChanda@AmyTanMD@IshatReza这是一个航空公司管理混混的组合,他们接受救助资金,这样他们就不必解雇工人,然后无论如何(和政客混混允许这样做)、新冠肺炎死亡、长时间新冠肺炎和新冠肺炎病假。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@lilienfeld1 @swartable @Noahpinion They infer uncertainty from the spread of polls and correlations between races and then simulate that 100 times.

@lilienfeld1@swartable@Noahpinion他们从民意调查的传播和种族之间的相关性中推断出不确定性,然后模拟100次。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@KAErdmann @stlouisfed Not really clear what was going on there. It did drop below the 2018 low but the magnitude of the drop was mostly in line with previous cyclicality and plausibly could have gone back up ex-pandemic. Probably needs some more drill down into situation to understand.

@KAErdmann@stlouisfed并不清楚那里发生了什么。它确实下降到2018年的低点以下,但下降幅度与之前的周期性基本一致,似乎有可能在大流行前回升。可能需要进一步深入了解情况才能理解。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@zigziggityzoo @RogersWork @NaveedAJamali @BFSEsq Mass shootings might be different (but not clear that slicing and not considering geography isn't cherry picking) but about half of guns used in crimes in Illinois are from out of state (often Indiana, but also a mix of others).

@zigziggityzoo@RogersWork@Navedajamali@BFSEsq大规模枪击案可能有所不同(但不清楚切片和不考虑地理因素是否不是彻头彻尾的挑选),但伊利诺伊州用于犯罪的枪支中约有一半来自州外(通常是印第安纳州,但也有其他混合)。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@jbella @cvanderstock No, it says in the article it will be relocated to other mines as needed.

@jbella@cvanderstock没有,它在文章中说,它将根据需要搬迁到其他矿山。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@lilienfeld1 @swartable @Noahpinion Pretty sure it's just polls.

@lilienfeld1@swartable@Noahpinion很肯定这只是民意调查。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@_scott_oneil @IDoTheThinking He's not losing this year at this point. Of course anything is cosmically possible but either way a few Newsom ads aren't moving the needle. It would have to be some other black swan.

@_斯科特·奥尼尔(scott_oneil@Idothethink)认为他今年在这个时候不会输。当然,任何事情都是大规模可能的,但不管怎样,一些Newsom广告都没有改变现状。那一定是另一只黑天鹅。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情

@wsbgnl @wanderer_jasnah @georgimarinov @OJJohnson81 @OmicronData @zeynep @kallmemeg @jbakcoleman @jfeldman_epi @GYamey @statsepi Every comparison to it being "like the flu" ignores that people typically get the flu every 5-10 years (probably less for older more vulnerable people who don't have kids in school). 1-2 bouts of covid every year is 5-20x more burdensome at equivalent severity.

@wsbgnl@Wanderr\u jasnah@georgimarinov@OJJohnson81@OmicronData@zeynep@Kallmeg@jbakcoleman@jfeldman\u epi@GYamey@statsepi每次将其比作“像流感”都忽略了人们通常每隔5-10年感染一次流感(对于没有孩子上学的更易受感染的老年人来说可能更少)。在同等严重程度下,每年1-2次新冠肺炎的负担是5-20倍。

发表时间:4年前 作者:aeon @AeonCoin详情