@Marco_Piani @paimadhu Interestingly none of these are near the supposed 8 or whatever and I'm not sure if they are even being calculated correctly (could be overstated if assumed serial interval is too long). Must be significant immunity and/or mitigation, or claimed R=8 is very wrong.

@Marco_Piani@paimadhu有趣的是，所有这些都不接近假定的8或其他数值，我不确定它们是否计算正确（如果假定的序列间隔太长，可能会被夸大）。必须具有显著的免疫力和/或缓解，否则声称的R=8是非常错误的。

@JamesLectric @michaelmina_lab @CarlosdelRio7 @DrLeanaWen At a minimum, unvaxed filling up hospitals.

@Jameselectric@michaelmina_lab@Carlosdellio7@DrLeanaWen至少在未加税的充装医院。

@michaelmina_lab @CarlosdelRio7 @DrLeanaWen If it is for a mandate, there is no way to do that without incentivizing people to get infected, which is likely a greater harm than mandating vax w/o exception. Ideal world vs. real world.

@michaelmina_lab@Carlosdellio7@DrLeanaWen如果是为了获得授权，那么如果不鼓励人们感染病毒，就没有办法做到这一点，这可能比强制实施vax（无例外）更大的危害。理想世界与现实世界。

@NesseKy @DrLeanaWen @michaelmina_lab @CarlosdelRio7 Be more specific about 'low risk'.
Low risk (but not zero, some little kids are being hospitalized) of acute severe illness or death
Risk of contributing to transmission between families and workers is HIGH, not low
Risk of long covid is ???

@NesseKy@DrLeanaWen@michaelmina_lab@Carlosdellio7更具体地说明“低风险”。
急性重症或死亡的低风险（但不是零风险，一些小孩正在住院）
导致家庭和工人之间传播的风险很高，而不是很低
长冠状病毒的风险是？？？

@Nutmeg031992 @WilliamBHoenig Thank you for your service.

@肉豆蔻031992@Williamboenig感谢您的服务。

@Andre__Damon @wsbgnl Is true. You usually don't get what you don't fight for.

@Andre__Damon@wsbgnl是真的。你通常得不到你不为之奋斗的东西。

@Nutmeg031992 @WilliamBHoenig Yes
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@肉豆蔻03 1992@Williamboenig是的
https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@Noahpinion Goes way back. https://t.co/lH1xo6lt8c

@没有一件事可以追溯到很久以前。https://t.co/lH1xo6lt8c

@Andre__Damon @wsbgnl Famous quote: "Markets will fluctuate"
A good start would be to stop making policy on the basis of the market.

@Andre__Damon@wsbgnl著名语录：“市场将波动”
一个好的开端是停止以市场为基础制定政策。

@wsbgnl @BernieDogs4 https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@wsbgnl@BernieDogs4https://twitter.com/AeonCoin/s...

@nicoleperlroth In case you haven't seen this
https://support.apple.com/en-u...

@nicoleperlroth以防你没看到这个
https://support.apple.com/en-u...

@jklmd123 Mandate, with an opt for lowest priority access to care. You want to go unvaxed, you can, and you still get care, but you get to the back of the line during a crisis.

@jklmd123授权，可选择最低优先级的医疗服务。你想不征税，你可以，你仍然可以得到照顾，但在危机期间，你会站在队伍的后面。

@macroliter @lisamkrieger https://t.co/gdz7ycSG2Z

@利萨姆克里格大升https://t.co/gdz7ycSG2Z

@Dan1763 @ryanlcooper @petersterne Also US data quality is extremely poor and vax rates are unreliable.
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/1...

@Dan1763@ryanlcooper@petersterne美国数据质量极差，vax率不可靠。
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/1...

@MasterOverlord3 @ryanlcooper Multiple factors including age, comorbiditie including (but not limited to) obesity, previous infections, and vax rate.
For SA vs. others, mostly age.

@MasterOverlord3@ryanlcooper包括年龄、共病（包括但不限于）肥胖、既往感染和vax率在内的多个因素。
对于SA和其他人，主要是年龄。

@ryanlcooper @djlavoie Probably more than half.

@ryanlcooper@djlavoie可能超过一半。

@Dan1763 @ryanlcooper @petersterne Look at vax rate 65+. Realize that a difference of only a 'small' % can be multiples in number of unvaxed vulnerable.

@Dan1763@ryanlcooper@petersterne查看vax速率65+。请认识到，只有一个“小”的差异可能是未加载漏洞数量的倍数。

@ryanlcooper Not only boosters. UK has much better pre-booster vax coverage of high risk populations, to an even greater degree than the difference in overall vax rate.

@瑞安库珀不仅仅是支持者。英国对高危人群的vax增强前覆盖率要高得多，甚至比整体vax率的差异更大。

@Nutmeg031992 @WilliamBHoenig He points out elsewhere this doesn't seem to be Wachter's thoght process, but I'm not convinced. I think Watcher is likely concerned with BOTH individual and population risk, although in this particular, very personal, anecdote, it seems more individual.
https://twitter.com/WilliamBHo...

@肉豆蔻031992@WilliamBHoenig他在别处指出，这似乎不是Wachter的思考过程，但我不相信。我认为《观察家》很可能同时关注个人和人群风险，尽管在这个特别的、非常个人化的轶事中，它似乎更个人化。
https://twitter.com/WilliamBHo...

@Nutmeg031992 @WilliamBHoenig It does to reduce peak burdens on healthcare, stresses to other critical infrastructure due to high absenteeism, testing capacity, limited supplies of antivirals, etc.
Most still get infected, but WHEN matters, and can matter a lot.

@肉豆蔻031992@WilliamBHoenig它确实可以减轻医疗保健的高峰负担，减少因高缺勤率、检测能力、抗病毒药物供应有限等而对其他关键基础设施造成的压力。
大多数人仍然会被感染，但在重要的时候，可能会非常重要。