@zengjiajun_eth Wei was named after Wei Dai!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

@曾家俊是以魏岱的名字命名的！
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

RT: This is the Endgame ♟♖♛♔
Ep. 99 with @VitalikButerin
- How far are we along on #Ethereum’s roadmap?
- What challenges lie ahead?
- What about the rise of Alt L1's?
- Are all L1's converging on the same future?
Tune in to the podcast 🎙📺
https://shows.banklesshq.com/p...

RT：这就是结局♟♖♛♔
Ep。99和@VitalikButerin
-我们在以太坊的路线图上走了多远？
-未来的挑战是什么？
-Alt L1的崛起又如何？
-在L1的未来会聚吗？
收听播客🎙📺
https://shows.banklesshq.com/p...

@satofishi My lifetime map so far (green = visited, yellow = airport transited only); 47 countries green. https://t.co/d3fkWegdh4

@satofishi迄今为止我的人生地图（绿色=已访问，黄色=仅在机场过境）；47个国家是绿色的。https://t.co/d3fkWegdh4

In 2021 I mostly stuck to a self-imposed twitter quarantine, only using this site to post links to my long-form content.
Q1: in retrospect, do you think this was a good idea?
Q2: what should I do in 2022?
(replies followees-only to ensure quality)

2021，我大多坚持一个自我推特的Twitter隔离，只使用这个网站发布链接到我的长格式内容。
问题1：回顾过去，你认为这是个好主意吗？
问题2：2022年我应该做什么？
（以下回复仅用于确保质量）

* On tech, I was more often right on abstract ideas than on production software dev issues. Had to learn to understand the latter over time
* I have a deeper appreciation now of the need for even more simplicity than I thought we needed

*在技术方面，我对抽象概念的看法往往比对生产软件开发问题的看法更正确。随着时间的推移，我们必须学会理解后者
*我现在更深刻地认识到需要比我认为我们需要的更简单

* I did have good instincts early on for avoiding the craziest parts of bitcoin maximalist thinking. A couple early mistakes, but I corrected quickly
* But X being wrong does not imply that any specific rebellion against X will go well! Yet another way in which politics is hard

*我很早就有很好的直觉来避免比特币最大化思想中最疯狂的部分。有几个早期的错误，但我很快就改正了
*但是X错了并不意味着任何针对X的反抗都会顺利进行！另一方面，政治是艰难的

Conclusions:
* My thinking about politics and large-scale human organization was more naive then. Too focused on simple and complete formal models; I did not appreciate challenges of culture and https://vitalik.ca/general/202... then; I do now.

结论：
*当时我对政治和大规模人类组织的思考更为天真。过于注重简单完整的形式化模型；我不欣赏文化和文化的挑战https://vitalik.ca/general/202...然后我现在知道了。

I'm more pessimistic about this now especially because of the PoS switch. We will need oracles. And if we want to make stablecoins robust to USD collapse (by switching to their own native CPI if that happens) we'll need more active governance.

我现在对此更加悲观，尤其是因为PoS开关。我们需要神谕。如果我们想让StableCoin在美元崩溃时保持稳健（如果美元崩溃，我们可以转换为自己的CPI），我们需要更积极的治理。

12. A more detailed opinion on stablecoins from 2014: https://blog.ethereum.org/2014...
A big part of this post tried to tackle the question of whether or not you could have a stablecoin without oracles, by using blockchain data (eg. PoW diff) as a pseudo-price-oracle.

12.从2014年开始，关于stablecoins的更详细意见：https://blog.ethereum.org/2014...
这篇文章的很大一部分试图通过使用区块链数据（如PoW diff）作为伪价格甲骨文，来解决在没有甲骨文的情况下是否可以拥有stablecoin的问题。

A lot correct (basically predicted "defi"), though incentivized file storage + compute hasn't taken off that much (yet?), and of course I completely missed NFTs.
I would say the biggest thing I missed in the details is collusion issues in DAO governance: https://vitalik.ca/general/201...

非常正确（基本上预测为“defi”），尽管激励型文件存储+计算并没有取得太大的进展（现在是吗？），当然，我完全错过了NFT。
我想说，我在细节中遗漏的最大一点是DAO治理中的共谋问题：https://vitalik.ca/general/201...

11. Applications envisioned in the Ethereum whitepaper:
https://ethereum.org/en/whitep...
* ERC20-style tokens
* Algorithmic stablecoins
* Domain name systems (like ENS)
* Decentralized file storage and computing
* DAOs
* Wallets with withdrawal limits
* Oracles
* Prediction markets

11.以太坊白皮书中设想的应用：
https://ethereum.org/en/whitep...
*ERC20风格代币
*算法稳定性
*域名系统（如ENS）
*分散式文件存储和计算
*道斯
*有取款限制的钱包
*神谕
*预测市场

Obviously feel proud of this one😀
Though it's interesting how I got the "do something really simple and dumb even if it's suboptimal" concept so right here, but it took me so long to get there in the proof of stake and sharding designs.

很明显，我为这个感到骄傲😀
虽然有趣的是，我是如何在这里得到“做一些非常简单和愚蠢的事情，即使它是次优的”概念的，但我花了很长时间才在股权证明和分片设计中做到这一点。

10. These posts from 2016-17 basically advocating for someone to build Uniswap.
https://vitalik.ca/general/201...
https://www.reddit.com/r/ether...

10.2016-2017年的这些帖子基本上都在鼓吹有人建立Uniswap。
https://vitalik.ca/general/201...
https://www.reddit.com/r/ether...

Today, I would call BCH mostly a failure. My main takeaway: communities formed around a rebellion, even if they have a good cause, often have a hard time long term, because they value bravery over competence and are united around resistance rather than a coherent way forward.

今天，我认为BCH主要是一个失败。我的主要收获是：围绕叛乱形成的社区，即使他们有一个好的理由，也往往会经历一段艰难的长期，因为他们看重勇气而不是能力，并且团结在抵抗而不是一致的前进道路上。

9. I was optimistic about Bitcoin Cash specifically, because I agreed with the big-blocker arguments in the scaling war more than the small-blocker arguments.
https://twitter.com/vitalikbut...

9.我特别对比特币现金持乐观态度，因为我更同意规模战中的大拦截器观点，而不是小拦截器观点。
https://twitter.com/vitalikbut...

Do I still agree?
The above args are less strong today, because (i) chains are more universal, (ii) apps more complex so bridging more risky, (iii) experimentation doable at L2.
But even still, I think there are things that you can't do at L2, and there's room for different L1s

我还同意吗？
上述论点在今天并不那么强大，因为（i）链条更普遍，（ii）应用程序更复杂，因此桥接更危险，（iii）实验在L2上可行。
但即使如此，我认为在L2中仍有一些事情是你做不到的，而且对于不同的L1来说还有空间

8. I liked altcoins before altcoins were cool. See this from Sep 2013 (so, 2 months before Ethereum):
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/bu...
Three core arguments:
(i) diff chains optimize for diff goals
(ii) costs of having many chains are low
(iii) need outlet in case core dev team is wrong https://t.co/1vfSPwUqlc

在altcoins很酷之前，我喜欢altcoins。请参见2013年9月（以太坊召开前2个月）的内容：
https://bitcoinmagazine.com/bu...
三个核心论点：
（i） 差异链针对差异目标进行优化
（ii）拥有多家连锁店的成本较低
（iii）在核心开发团队出错时需要出口https://t.co/1vfSPwUqlc

I got to see the limits of this style of thinking through my work on collusion:
https://vitalik.ca/general/201...
https://vitalik.ca/general/202...
Basically, the problem with pushing everything into a formal system is that almost any formal system with more than 2 participants is attackable.

通过我在共谋方面的工作，我看到了这种思维方式的局限性：
https://vitalik.ca/general/201...
https://vitalik.ca/general/202...
基本上，将所有内容都推到正式系统中的问题在于，几乎任何参与者超过2人的正式系统都是可攻击的。

7. This 2014 piece on self-enforcing contracts:
https://blog.ethereum.org/2014...
Basically, it tries to argue that making all of society more like a formal system is good and we should be excited about it.

7.这篇2014年关于自我执行合同的文章：
https://blog.ethereum.org/2014...
基本上，它试图论证让整个社会更像一个正式的系统是好的，我们应该对此感到兴奋。

This reflects a broader intellectual evolution I've had: from "X is what I must defend, so whatever is favorable to X must be correct" to "I like X, but X has flaws and it seems like Y fixes them, so I support X+Y now"
Soldier mindset --> scout mindset.
https://www.amazon.ca/Scout-Mi...

这反映了我经历的更广泛的智力进化：从“X是我必须捍卫的，所以对X有利的东西必须是正确的”到“我喜欢X，但X有缺陷，看起来Y修复了它们，所以我现在支持X+Y”
士兵心态-->；童子军心态。
https://www.amazon.ca/Scout-Mi...