@richgregory @balajis India during that delta wave😢😢😢
Probably others too.

@richgregory @balajis 印度在那次三角洲浪潮中😢😢😢
可能其他人也一样。

@richgregory @balajis Also, the 28 day rule, though very questionable, wasn't far off in the first year or two when deaths were highest. Not that many people die in car crashes at all (<2k/yr in UK), and it would only matter for the subset that happen to coincide with a positive test. Small numbers.

@richgregory @balajis 此外，28 天规则虽然非常值得商榷，但在死亡人数最多的第一年或两年内并不遥远。根本没有多少人死于车祸（

@richgregory @balajis Yeah that weird 28 day rule. Many other places don't use it though. In any case, the 18 million estimate in the Lancet article is based on excess deaths. Surely not exact but likely much closer than the "official" 6 million.

@richgregory @balajis 是的，那个奇怪的 28 天规则。但是很多其他地方不使用它。无论如何，《柳叶刀》文章中的 1800 万估计是基于超额死亡人数。当然不准确，但可能比“官方”的 600 万更接近。

@web3warren @einarvollset @zachcoelius @balajis I didn't mean volunteers, but in any case we seem to agree.

@web3warren @einarvollset @zachcoelius @balajis 我不是说志愿者，但无论如何我们似乎都同意。

@web3warren @einarvollset @zachcoelius @balajis I think that is quite possible however there will still be "US involvement" in drastically increasing support for Ukraine. I would add overtly. US already has people on the ground helping Ukraine, just not declared.

@web3warren @einarvollset @zachcoelius @balajis 我认为这很有可能，但是仍然会有“美国参与”来大幅增加对乌克兰的支持。我会公开补充。美国已经有人在当地帮助乌克兰，只是没有宣布。

@web3warren @einarvollset @zachcoelius @balajis Ukraine can't do much more than it is doing now without substantially increased assistance, mostly from the US.

@web3warren @einarvollset @zachcoelius @balajis 如果没有大幅增加援助（主要来自美国），乌克兰无法比现在做得更多。

@richgregory @balajis It's 0.08%, but even that isn't really right because many deaths were not "officially" counted. It's probably more like 0.23%. Of course all of this is far lower than the black death in any case.

@richgregory @balajis 是 0.08%，但即使这样也不太正确，因为许多死亡人数没有“官方”统计。它可能更像是 0.23%。当然，这一切无论如何都远低于黑死病。

@thomascygn @balajis Cases WAY more than 600M as well. Odd to be using these figures for this point.

@thomascygn @balajis 案例也超过 6 亿。在这一点上使用这些数字很奇怪。

@AGoldsmithEsq @zhang_yueting @EricTopol @loscharlos Expertise turning into better advise from what I've seen, though of course that doesn't matter if the expertise is ignored.

@AGoldsmithEsq @zhang_yueting @EricTopol @loscharlos 从我所看到的情况来看，专业知识变成了更好的建议，当然，如果忽略专业知识，这并不重要。

@happyhexer @LazarusLong13 Came to say that. It was 351 (!)

@happyhexer @LazarusLong13 是这么说的。是 351 (!)

@efb_1 @zhang_yueting @EricTopol @loscharlos You're right though, at the extreme end this is more like 10 years than 5. Only a few percent of Americans are THAT obese though.

@efb_1 @zhang_yueting @EricTopol @loscharlos 你是对的，在极端情况下，这更像是 10 年而不是 5 年。不过，只有百分之几的美国人肥胖。

@efb_1 @zhang_yueting @EricTopol @loscharlos There are probably different studies. This one didn't find numbers that high.
https://www.thelancet.com/jour... https://t.co/eZLGINvimk

@efb_1 @zhang_yueting @EricTopol @loscharlos 可能有不同的研究。这个没有找到那么高的数字。
https://www.thelancet.com/jour ... https://t.co/eZLGINvimk

@eneldiluvio @alexmeshkin @marjorieromeyn Wave mostly ended by August, which was still winter, but perhaps seasonal factors have dampened any resurgence.

@eneldiluvio @alexmeshkin @marjorieromeyn Wave 大部分在 8 月结束，那时仍然是冬天，但也许季节性因素抑制了任何复苏。

@eneldiluvio @alexmeshkin @marjorieromeyn Look more closely. NZ is through its reopen wave and the line is basically flat for the last portion.
In the future, who knows. There may be future waves (in either/both/neither).

@eneldiluvio @alexmeshkin @marjorieromeyn 仔细看看。新西兰正在经历重新开放的浪潮，最后一部分的线基本持平。
未来，谁知道呢。可能会有未来的浪潮（要么/两者/都不）。

@ArmchairEpi This is more of an "elimination threshold" meaning such conditions STILL wouldn't produce super spreading even if all immunity wanes or virus mutates to evade previous immunity (but not to transmit substantially better).

@ArmchairEpi这更像是一个“消除阈值”，这意味着即使所有免疫力减弱或病毒变异以逃避先前的免疫力（但不会更好地传播），这种情况仍然不会产生超级传播。

@ArmchairEpi The name "superspreader threshold" is a bit misleading now because many (most/all) people have some some immunity and wouldn't produce superspreading under these conditions at one point in space and time.

@ArmchairEpi “超级传播者阈值”这个名称现在有点误导，因为许多（大多数/所有人）人都有一些免疫力，并且在这些条件下不会在空间和时间的某个时间点产生超级传播。

@ArmchairEpi Of note. Sports = heavy breathing = higher generation rate and higher inhalation rate.

@ArmchairEpi 注意。运动=沉重的呼吸=更高的生成率和更高的吸入率。

@eneldiluvio @alexmeshkin @marjorieromeyn That's not even close to correct https://t.co/yyoRyJRUlO

@eneldiluvio @alexmeshkin @marjorieromeyn 这甚至不接近正确https://t.co/yyoRyJRUlO

@LMutty1 @alexmeshkin @TakeWeightOffMD No, has one of the highest testing rates in the world.

@LMutty1 @alexmeshkin @TakeWeightOffMD 不，是世界上检测率最高的国家之一。

@MattDembowski @EricTopol @JosetteSchoenma Older people didn't get vaccinated.

@MattDembowski @EricTopol @JosetteSchoenma 老年人没有接种疫苗。