... if you are around for about five to seven years none of that matters. You can see the results and then predict accordingly.
It's almost never wrong, like blocks are almost always 10 minutes apart.

... 如果你在这里生活了五到七年，这些都不重要。你可以看到结果，然后做出相应的预测。
这几乎从来没有错过，就像街区几乎总是相隔10分钟。

With that as a starting point, one must then project that psychology through the lense of the history of the industry of the last 14 years, not all of the facts of which are widely known. Most, in fact, are quite opaque - if not occult - and very personal.
However...

以此为出发点，我们必须通过回顾过去14年的行业历史来预测这种心理，并不是所有的事实都广为人知。事实上，大多数都非常不透明——如果不是神秘的话——而且非常个人化。
然而

The only two parameters which apparently have created waves of predictable humans were the time between blocks remaining consistent and the amount of tokens emitted per block always decreasing.
All of Bitcoiner psychology hinges on those two parameters.
All of it.

显然，只有两个参数创造了可预测的人类浪潮，即块之间保持一致的时间和每个块发射的令牌数量始终在减少。
所有比特币制造者的心理都取决于这两个参数。
所有这些。

You haven't seen it all until you've been in this game for at least five years.

直到你在这个游戏中至少有五年的时间，你才看到这一切。

For me, the most annoying thing about Bitcoiners is that they don't realize that the network is somewhat predictable and the markets are somewhat predictable because *they* are somewhat predictable.

对我来说，比特币用户最恼人的事情是，他们没有意识到网络在某种程度上是可预测的，市场在某种程度上是可预测的，因为他们在某种程度上是可预测的。

Notice when the market started to bottom out I was thinking about block halvings...

注意，当市场开始触底时，我正在考虑将区块减半。。。

48-60 month market cycles are a thing because of the way people viewed the software before 90% of the market ever heard of "Bitcoin".
It's psychology, not magic.

48-60个月的市场周期之所以如此，是因为在90%的市场份额听说过“比特币”之前，人们对该软件的看法。
这是心理学，不是魔法。

Anyone who says "this looks like 2020" isn't an OG j/s

任何说“这看起来像2020年”的人都不是OG j/s

RT: We need to interrogate why journalists like me are considered "journalists" simply because I am not white, and I wear a hijab. This is EXACTLY what is happening to the Palestinian journalists who witnessed Shireen Abu Akleh's killing, whose eyewitness testimony has been dismissed https://twitter.com/AvivaKlomp...

RT：我们需要质问为什么像我这样的记者被认为是“记者”，仅仅因为我不是白人，而且我戴着头巾。这正是目睹Shireen Abu Akleh被杀的巴勒斯坦记者所发生的事情，他们的目击者证词已被驳回https://twitter.com/AvivaKlomp...

RT: Get your fucking money back right now. 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 https://t.co/m6rXv0WPA6

RT：马上拿回你的钱。😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂 https://t.co/m6rXv0WPA6

Publicly traded companies which hold Bitcoin and talk about margin calls and bankruptcy seizures might want to be taken as alpha idk
Their lawyers told them to say that stuff. That's not just off the cuff remarks.
That's fiduciary liability in action.

持有比特币并谈论追加保证金和破产扣押的上市公司可能希望被视为alpha idk
他们的律师让他们说那些话。这不仅仅是即兴的评论。
这就是诉讼中的信托责任。

Don't make us put this beer down.

别逼我们把啤酒放下。

All you need to know. https://t.co/A9W0lexAoD

你只需要知道。https://t.co/A9W0lexAoD

Abolish ICE https://twitter.com/latimes/st...

Abolish Icehttps://twitter.com/latimes/st...

RT: https://t.co/CgI6tJ5qRn

RT：https://t.co/CgI6tJ5qRn

social justice warrior but doing it wrong https://twitter.com/CBSNews/st...

社会正义战士，但做错了https://twitter.com/CBSNews/st...

yuge https://twitter.com/IGN/status...

yugehttps://twitter.com/IGN/status...

@bluefish_79 @brian_trollz @Rujo_ I'm a madman until you see what I see.
Then you're mad, too. https://t.co/CvvJF9jRs3

@蓝鱼@79@brian_trollz@Rujo_uo在你看到我看到的之前，我是个疯子。
那你也疯了。https://t.co/CvvJF9jRs3

@bluefish_79 @brian_trollz @Rujo_ Bitcoin Cash is the longest running, monetized, contentious blockchain fork and it's almost five years old.

@bluefish_79@brian_trollz@Rujo_uu比特币现金是运行时间最长、货币化、有争议的区块链分支，已经有将近五年的历史了。

It's a movie about statutory rape. https://twitter.com/BritishVog...

这是一部关于法定强奸的电影。https://twitter.com/BritishVog...